Match Info

Date: 10 February 2021, Wednesday


	Leonesa		Sporting de Gijón B

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.45	3.85	6
	1.5	3.55	6.2
	1.56	4.08	6.19
	1.57	3.5	6
	1.55	3.65	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.59)	3.73 ↑ (3.55)	6.01 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
60.2%

Draw
24.6%

Sporting de Gijón B
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

15.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sporting de Gijón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-25.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón B than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting de Gijón B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group) and 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Relegation Group)).

Leonesa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sporting de Gijón B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leonesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leonesa is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.02.21	Real Oviedo B - Leonesa	1:3 ✺
31.01.21	Leonesa - Lealtad	0:0 ✺
09.01.21	Marino de Luanco - Leonesa	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Leonesa - Granada	1:2 ET ✺
17.12.20	Leonesa - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWLW
- Sporting de Gijón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.02.21	Sporting de Gijón B - Langreo	2:1 ✺
03.02.21	Valladolid B - Sporting de Gijón B	0:2 ✺
30.01.21	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón B	1:1 ✺
23.01.21	Sporting de Gijón B - Burgos	0:2 ✺
12.12.20	Sporting de Gijón B - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.10.20	Sporting de Gijón B - Leonesa	2:4
01.05.16	Sporting de Gijón B - Leonesa	0:0
13.12.15	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón B	1:0
08.02.15	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón B	4:0
21.09.14	Sporting de Gijón B - Leonesa	3:3
09.03.14	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón B	1:0
27.10.13	Sporting de Gijón B - Leonesa	2:0

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