Match Info

Date: 31 January 2021, Sunday


	Leonesa		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.2	4.33
	1.81	3.3	4.75
	1.8	3.1	4.75
	1.79	3.28	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)	3.22 ↓ (3.24)	4.61 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
51.6%

Draw
28.5%

Lealtad
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

28.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

22%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Leonesa - Lealtad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Second stage) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Second stage)).

Leonesa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lealtad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lealtad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.01.21	Marino de Luanco - Leonesa	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Leonesa - Granada	1:2 ET ✺
17.12.20	Leonesa - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.12.20	Leonesa - Covadonga	2:0 ✺
06.12.20	Langreo - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWT
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.01.21	Lealtad - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
17.01.21	Covadonga - Lealtad	2:0 ✺
10.01.21	Langreo - Lealtad	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Lealtad - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.12.20	Lealtad - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.11.20	Lealtad - Leonesa	1:0
30.04.17	Leonesa - Lealtad	3:1
04.12.16	Lealtad - Leonesa	1:1
21.02.16	Lealtad - Leonesa	3:1
03.10.15	Leonesa - Lealtad	2:1
19.04.15	Lealtad - Leonesa	1:1
30.11.14	Leonesa - Lealtad	2:2

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