Match Info

Date: 9 January 2021, Saturday


	Marino de Luanco		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	3.95	3.25	1.86
	3.9	3.2	1.84
	4.33	3.5	1.88
	4	3.2	1.91
	4.1	3.38	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.61)	3.27 ↓ (3.43)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
22.8%

Draw
28%

Leonesa
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26.2%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

21.1%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marino de Luanco - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Marino de Luanco is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leonesa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Leonesa have a series of home games.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Marino de Luanco won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Marino de Luanco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.12.20	Sporting de Gijón B - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Covadonga - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
29.11.20	Marino de Luanco - Langreo	1:0 ✺
25.11.20	Marino de Luanco - Valladolid B	0:1 ✺
21.11.20	Burgos - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWLL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Leonesa - Granada	1:2 ET ✺
17.12.20	Leonesa - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.12.20	Leonesa - Covadonga	2:0 ✺
06.12.20	Langreo - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
29.11.20	Leonesa - Burgos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.04.15	Leonesa - Marino de Luanco	1:0
23.11.14	Marino de Luanco - Leonesa	3:0
11.05.14	Marino de Luanco - Leonesa	2:1
22.12.13	Leonesa - Marino de Luanco	0:2

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