Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday

Location: The Oval (Caernarfon)

Referee: Svegzda D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Caernarfon Town		Levadia Tallinn

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.73	Watch
	4.40	4.00	1.62	Watch
	3.95	3.7	1.72
	3.5	4.25	1.76
	4.15	4.2	1.69	Watch
	3.45	4.2	1.71
	3.94	4.15	1.73	Watch
	4.1	3.9	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.35)	3.99 ↓ (4.78)	1.71 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caernarfon Town
23.4%

Draw
23%

Levadia Tallinn
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

19.4%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Levadia Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levadia Tallinn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	4.2%	83.3%

Caernarfon Town - Levadia Tallinn Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Levadia Tallinn will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts C. (G) 23. Marriott Ch. 16. Nash B. 4. Piggott J. 3. Jones M. 8. Gosset D. (C) 14. Edwards N. 11. Cieslewicz A. 7. Mendes P. 19. Bradley S. 9. Clarke Z.	99. Vallner K. (G) 23. Liivak F. 20. Nwankwo A. 4. Tammik T. 29. Saliste J. 5. Roosnupp M. 6. Peetson R. (C) 36. Joao Pedro 11. Ainsalu M. 21. Skvortsov M. 9. Tambedou B.
Substitutes
28. Ellis O. 21. Evans C. 29. Evans O. 6. Lewis I. 5. Mooney P. 2. Owen M. 15. Smith D. 10. Thomas D. 13. Thomas H. (G) 54. Williams C. 17. Williams J. (G) 25. Zanzala O.	18. Alexandre 1. Ani O. (G) 71. Kaua Davi 17. Kirss R. 7. Lehtmets G. 30. Liiv H. 33. Otoo E. 19. Sambe M. 10. Wendell
Coaches
Davies R.	Zahovaiko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Peetson R. ⚽, Ainsalu M. (A),
20', Skvortsov M. 🟨,
24', Nash B. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Joao Pedro ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 3, Roosnupp M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 4, Ainsalu M. ⚽, Tambedou B. (A),
60', Mendes P. ↓, Zanzala O. ↑,
60', Cieslewicz A. ↓, Evans O. ↑,
63', Nash B. 🟥,
64', Skvortsov M. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Bradley S. ↓, Owen M. ↑,
76', Liivak F. ↓, Kaua Davi ↑,
76', Roosnupp M. ↓, Otoo E. ↑,
76', Tambedou B. ↓, Wendell ↑,
79', 0 - 5, Otoo E. ⚽, Ainsalu M. (A),
83', Gosset D. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
83', Clarke Z. ↓, Lewis I. ↑,
83', Joao Pedro ↓, Alexandre ↑,
83', Skvortsov M. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
84', Edwards N. 🟨,
88', Wendell 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Levadia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Levadia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Levadia is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caernarfon Town
Club Friendly
20.06.26	Glentoran - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.04.26	Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont	2:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
12.04.26	Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United	3:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
03.04.26	Colwyn Bay - Caernarfon Town	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Caernarfon Town - The New Saints	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWL
- Levadia Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.26	Narva Trans - Levadia Tallinn	1:3 ✺
28.06.26	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	1:1 ✺
17.06.26	Nõmme United - Levadia Tallinn	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Flora Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWW

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