The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colwyn Bay 44.2%
Draw 25.3%
Caernarfon Town 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
25.3%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
24.6%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colwyn Bay's performance.
Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caernarfon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colwyn Bay that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caernarfon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Colwyn Bay - Caernarfon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Colwyn Bay will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Caernarfon will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Brown A. (G) 21. Astles R. 9. Davies J. 23. Edwards A. 6. Forde S. 19. Hill M. 24. Hughes G. 12. Moore A. 11. Roberts E. 10. Robles L. 5. Sirrell L.
1. Roberts C. (G) 19. Bradley S. 22. Cieslewicz A. 11. Clarke Z. 24. Harrison K. 3. Jones M. 6. Lewis I. 23. Lock J. 2. Owen M. 27. Sears R. 15. Smith D.
Substitutes
35. Bullock E. 7. Cumming J. 30. Efan B. 3. Hart S. 4. Peate N. 20. Williams A. 1. Williams R. (G)
9. Davies A. 5. Mooney P. 25. Owen R. 10. Thomas D. 13. Thomas H. (G) 14. Young B.
Coaches
Wilde M.
Davies R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Roberts E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Astles R. (Own goal),
64', Edwards A. ↓, Cumming J. ↑,
65', Hill M. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Clarke Z. ⚽,
70', Cieslewicz A. ↓, Owen R. ↑,
70', Clarke Z. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
72', Bradley S. ↓, Young B. ↑,
77', Hughes G. 🟨,
83', Lock J. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
86', Roberts E. ↓, Hart S. ↑,
86', Forde S. ↓, Peate N. ↑,
90+3', Hart S. 🟨,
Preview
Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 2.
Colwyn Bay is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Caernarfon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Colwyn Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.7:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Colwyn Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now
Caernarfon: 2.4% Colwyn Bay: 1.63%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Caernarfon
12
7
2
3
35:14
21
23
6
Colwyn Bay
12
7
1
4
21:15
6
22
Last Results with these Odds
Colwyn Bay - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.77%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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Brown A. (G) 
Davies J. 
Cieslewicz A. 
Bullock E. 
Owen R. 
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