Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ellefsen J. H. (Fai)


	Levadia Tallinn		Iberia 1999

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3	2.6	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.35	Watch
	2.71	3.1	2.56
	2.22	3.22	3.25	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.62
	2.85	3.21	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.5)	3.14 ↓ (3.4)	2.64 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia Tallinn
35.4%

Draw
29.5%

Iberia 1999
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

26.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

25.6%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Iberia 1999 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iberia 1999 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	46.2%	7.7%

Levadia Tallinn - Iberia 1999 Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Levadia will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levadia: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Levadia (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Vallner K. (G) 7. Tur E. 35. Iboro V. 4. Tammik T. 2. Schjonning-Larsen M. 19. Musaba R. 11. Ainsalu M. 15. Mavretic T. (C) 14. Agyiri E. 9. Tambedou B. 36. Joao Pedro	31. Makaridze G. (G) 20. Zohouri A. 24. Agyakwa D. 4. Jgerenaia G. 40. Kobuladze G. 8. Kardava B. 6. Dadiani N. 33. Klas D. 10. Silagadze L. 9. Dzagania A. 7. Tabatadze I. (C)
Substitutes
18. Alexandre 1. Ani O. (G) 25. Kallaste K. 71. Kaua Davi 17. Kirss R. 10. Lepistu B. 6. Peetson R. 5. Roosnupp M. 41. Skvortsov M. 28. Torres C. 77. Wendell 24. Zakarlyuka A.	29. Akhvlediani T. 25. Amisulashvili A. 12. Bochorishvili S. (G) 14. Goshteliani G. 15. Kukalia G. 1. Megrelishvili T. (G) 32. Rusevic A. 18. Sikharulidze I. 13. Vrbanec M.
Coaches
Torres C.	Korghalidze L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Tambedou B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tambedou B. ↓, Roosnupp M. ↑,
47', Mavretic T. 🟨,
68', Mavretic T. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
68', Musaba R. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
71', Klas D. ↓, Goshteliani G. ↑,
73', Kardava B. 🟨,
76', Tammik T. ↓, Peetson R. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Agyiri E. ⚽,
82', Ainsalu M. ↓, Alexandre ↑,
84', Dadiani N. ↓, Vrbanec M. ↑,
84', Tabatadze I. ↓, Sikharulidze I. ↑,
84', Silagadze L. ↓, Akhvlediani T. ↑,
84', Dzagania A. ↓, Rusevic A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Levadia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Iberia 1999's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Levadia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Iberia 1999 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
19.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	RFS - Levadia Tallinn	1:0 ✺
08.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - RFS	0:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.25	Paide LM - Levadia Tallinn	0:3 ✺
27.06.25	Levadia Tallinn - Narva Trans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWW
- Iberia 1999
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Malmö - Iberia 1999	3:1 ✺
08.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Malmö	1:3 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
01.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1 penalties ✺
26.06.25	Iberia 1999 - Dila Gori	1:3 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
29.05.25	Iberia 1999 - Gagra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

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