Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 11

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Tohver K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV


	Levadia Tallinn		Harju JK Laagri

	1	X	2
	1.14	7.5	12.5
	1.15	5.9	20
	1.16	8.11	22.35
	1.19	5.64	18.67	Watch
	1.15	6.5	15
	1.11	6.6	16.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.24)	6.71 ↑ (5.4)	17.5 ↑ (9.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia Tallinn
80.8%

Draw
13.9%

Harju JK Laagri
5.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.7%

16.9%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levadia Tallinn's performance.

Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Levadia Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Levadia will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Vallner K. (G) 23. Liivak F. 20. Nwankwo A. 35. Iboro V. 29. Saliste J. 6. Peetson R. (C) 11. Ainsalu M. 21. Skvortsov M. 5. Roosnupp M. 10. Wendell 9. Tambedou B.	1. Vainula J. (G) 15. Liit S. 24. Laur K. 22. Kesa M. 4. Jarve A. (C) 5. Kartau I. 21. Soo S. 23. Rudenko Daniil 13. Sillamaa R. 16. Kriis K. 19. Binate A.
Substitutes
18. Alexandre 1. Ani O. (G) 36. Joao Pedro 71. Kaua Davi 17. Kirss R. 7. Lehtmets G. 30. Liiv H. 33. Otoo E. 4. Tammik T.	18. Bah I. 9. Eerme K. 47. Ennuste K. 41. Kajari E. 17. Kelement M. 32. Kerge S. 11. Kose A. 79. Meesit R. (G) 53. Ndakala J. 6. Palutaja H. 7. Reimaa R.
Coaches
Zahovaiko V.	Nuuma L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', Kesa M. ↓, Palutaja H. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Wendell ⚽, Roosnupp M. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Roosnupp M. ⚽, Peetson R. (A),
45+2', Nwankwo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Palutaja H. 🟨,
59', Soo S. ↓, Kelement M. ↑,
59', Sillamaa R. ↓, Ndakala J. ↑,
65', Wendell ↓, Otoo E. ↑,
65', Skvortsov M. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
73', Laur K. 🟨,
74', Liivak F. ↓, Kaua Davi ↑,
79', Binate A. ↓, Ennuste K. ↑,
79', Kartau I. ↓, Reimaa R. ↑,
84', Tambedou B. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Otoo E. ⚽, Saliste J. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadia won 4.

Levadia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Harju has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Harju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Levadia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Levadia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:7. (average 2.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Levadia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 3.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Levadia	29	22	6	1	81:21	60	72
6	Harju JK Laagri	29	11	2	16	40:47	-7	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
02.05.26	Kuressaare - Levadia Tallinn	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Levadia Tallinn - Narva Trans	7:0 ✺
22.04.26	Tammeka - Levadia Tallinn	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	4:0 ✺
12.04.26	Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWT
- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Meistriliiga
30.04.26	Flora Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	5:0 ✺
25.04.26	Harju JK Laagri - Tammeka	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Harju JK Laagri - Paide LM	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Nõmme United - Harju JK Laagri	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
15.03.26	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn	1:3
08.11.25	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn	2:2
19.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	3:0
31.05.25	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn	0:1
28.02.25	Levadia Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	5:0
26.09.23	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn	0:1
12.08.23	Levadia Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	1:1

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