Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Owen T. (Wal)


	Levadia Tallinn		RFS

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.7	Watch
	3.5	3.7	1.98	Watch
	4.25	3.95	1.68	Watch
	4.09	4.17	1.72
				Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.95
	4.5	4.15	1.73	Watch
	3.45	3.7	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (4.98)	3.84 ↓ (4)	1.81 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia Tallinn
23.7%

Draw
24.5%

RFS
51.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.7%

23.4%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

19.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RFS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Levadia Tallinn - RFS Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Levadia will win (votes: 6 - 13%). RFS will win (votes: 34 - 73.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RFS: 61.2% – 86.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - RFS (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - RFS (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RFS will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadia (votes: 2 - 6.9%). RFS (votes: 25 - 86.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Vallner K. (G) 7. Tur E. 35. Iboro V. 4. Tammik T. 2. Schjonning-Larsen M. 14. Agyiri E. 11. Ainsalu M. 15. Mavretic T. (C) 36. Joao Pedro 19. Musaba R. 5. Roosnupp M.	16. Nerugals J. (G) 11. Savalnieks R. 23. Prenga H. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 25. Mares P. 26. Panic S. 30. Njie H. 18. Zelenkovs D. 10. Ikaunieks J. 8. Odisharia L. 22. Lemajic D.
Substitutes
18. Alexandre 1. Ani O. (G) 8. Bah M. 45. Jarvelaid H. 17. Kirss R. 10. Lepistu B. 23. Liivak F. 41. Skvortsov M. 9. Tambedou B. 28. Torres C. 24. Zakarlyuka A.	71. Diedhiou B. 32. Facu 9. Ikaunieks D. 41. Karashima Y. 35. Maric M. (G) 77. Porsan Clemente J. 21. Stuglis E. 70. Talla M. 4. Veips R. 13. Vilkovs S. (G) 37. Wouter T.
Coaches
Torres C.	Morozs V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Panic S. (Pen),
63', Mares P. ↓, Diedhiou B. ↑,
68', Roosnupp M. ↓, Tambedou B. ↑,
81', Joao Pedro ↓, Zakarlyuka A. ↑,
82', Odisharia L. ↓, Ikaunieks D. ↑,
82', Lemajic D. ↓, Talla M. ↑,
83', Tur E. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
84', Musaba R. ↓, Liivak F. ↑,
88', Savalnieks R. ↓, Veips R. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Levadia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

RFS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Levadia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

RFS could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.25	Paide LM - Levadia Tallinn	0:3 ✺
27.06.25	Levadia Tallinn - Narva Trans	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	3:1 ✺
18.06.25	Levadia Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	4:0 ✺
14.06.25	Kuressaare - Levadia Tallinn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- FK RFS
Latvian Virsliga
04.07.25	RFS - Liepāja	2:1 ✺
30.06.25	BFC Daugavpils - RFS	1:7 ✺
26.06.25	Jelgava - RFS	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	RFS - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
18.06.25	Riga - RFS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL

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