Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 27

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Levadia U19		Jõhvi Phoenix

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.10	2.55
	2.14	4.10	2.48
	2.03	4.11	2.66
	2.03	3.95	2.60
	2.06	4.10	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)	4.07 ↓ (4.4)	2.6 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia U19
43.5%

Draw
22%

Jõhvi Phoenix
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

20.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

19.9%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Jõhvi Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia U19 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jõhvi Phoenix than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Elhi T. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Pocevicius J. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Pevtsov G. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
53', 3 - 1, Gurin G. ⚽,
65', 4 - 1, Gurin G. ⚽,
71', 5 - 1, Tsesnokov N. (Penalty Awarded),
75', 5 - 2, Shashkov I. ⚽,
80', 6 - 2, Bogatov P. ⚽,

Preview

Levadia U19 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jõhvi Phoenix is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jõhvi Phoenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jõhvi Phoenix has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Levadia U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Levadia U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Levadia U19	31	19	2	10	78:52	26	59
3	Johvi Phoenix	30	17	3	10	71:68	3	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia U19
Estonian Esiliiga B
31.08.26	Tammeka U21 - Levadia U19	2:5 ✺
24.08.26	Levadia U19 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Levadia U19 - Narva Trans U21	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Levadia U19	1:4 ✺
03.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Levadia U19	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWWW
- Jõhvi FC Phoenix
Estonian Esiliiga B
29.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Jõhvi Phoenix	0:3 ✺
23.08.26	Tammeka U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
20.08.26	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Jõhvi Phoenix	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
22.06.26	Levadia U19 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:0
24.04.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Levadia U19	4:3

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