Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 21

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday


	Pärnu Vaprus U21		Levadia U19

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.20	2.40
	2.12	4.15	2.52
	2.19	4.67	2.38
	2.19	4.79	2.33
	2.17	4.3	2.25
	2.15	4.44	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.02)	4.43 ↑ (4.1)	2.41 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Vaprus U21
41.9%

Draw
20.5%

Levadia U19
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

21.8%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

23.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Vaprus U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Levadia U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus U21 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu Vaprus U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia U19 than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levadia U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Levadia U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Rodionov F. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Rodionov F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, Kutsar K. (Penalty Awarded),
63', 2 - 2, Mohnja I. ⚽,
71', 2 - 3, Rodionov F. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Pärnu Vaprus U21 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Levadia U19 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Pärnu Vaprus U21 has had a series of away games.

Recently, Levadia U19 has had a series of home games.

Pärnu Vaprus U21 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pärnu Vaprus U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Including home match between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Levadia U19	31	19	2	10	78:52	26	59
7	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	30	14	4	12	95:62	33	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu JK Vaprus U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
19.07.26	Narva Trans U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	4:1 ✺
12.07.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Pärnu Vaprus U21	4:2 ✺
05.07.26	Tabasalu - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:8 ✺
22.06.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:4 ✺
19.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWT
- Levadia U19
Estonian Esiliiga B
19.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tartu Kalev	0:5 ✺
12.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:1 ✺
04.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tammeka U21	3:2 ✺
22.06.26	Levadia U19 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Levadia U19	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
15.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Levadia U19	4:2

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