Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Levadia Stadium (Levadia)

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub 9
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Usa	SportPlus


	Levadiakos		Athens Kallithea

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.42	3.1	3.1
	2.59	3	3.05
	2.46	3.14	2.93	Watch
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.52	3.1	3	Watch
	2.42	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.96)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	3.09 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadiakos
38.7%

Draw
30.7%

Athens Kallithea
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadiakos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Levadiakos's form might have worsened.

Athens Kallithea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadiakos than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levadiakos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Levadiakos - Athens Kallithea Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Levadiakos will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Athens Kallithea (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Athens Kallithea will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Athens Kallithea (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Macagno R. (G) 20. Kassos P. 24. Liagas P. 4. Abu Hanna J. 3. Vichos P. 23. Cokaj E. 69. Moreira M. 18. Kosti I. 11. Balzi G. 7. Verbic B. 90. Zini	24. Gelios I. (G) 37. Tsivelekidis G. 77. Isimat-Mirin N. 58. Pasalidis T. 23. Soiri P. 26. Mercati A. 29. Mellado M. 10. Demethryus 5. McGarry J. 95. Lebon K. 9. Alfarela M.
Substitutes
51. Avraham A. 5. Erramuspe R. 1. Garavelis A. (G) 17. Gianniotas G. 21. Ozbolt A. 15. Pedrozo F. 9. Romo J. 31. Symelidis P. 28. Verris K.	11. Kainourgios N. 25. Loukinas G. 14. Manthatis G. 21. Metaxas D. 17. Ndiaye M. 1. Pantos A. (G) 20. Sardelis G. 28. Valbuena M. 7. Vasilogiannis A.
Coaches
Papadopoulos N.	Malezas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Zini ⚽, Balzi G. (A),
38', Pasalidis T. 🟨,
39', Balzi G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
57', Mercati A. ↓, Valbuena M. ↑,
57', Mellado M. ↓, Metaxas D. ↑,
58', Balzi G. ↓, Pedrozo F. ↑,
60', Valbuena M. 🟨,
63', Valbuena M. 🟨,
71', Isimat-Mirin N. 🟨,
72', 2 - 0, Verbic B. (Pen),
76', Alfarela M. ↓, Loukinas G. ↑,
76', McGarry J. ↓, Manthatis G. ↑,
76', Lebon K. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Soiri P. ⚽, Ndiaye M. (A),
79', Abu Hanna J. ↓, Symelidis P. ↑,
80', Zini ↓, Ozbolt A. ↑,
86', Tsivelekidis G. 🟨,
87', Verbic B. ↓, Erramuspe R. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Ozbolt A. ⚽, Kosti I. (A),
90+7', 4 - 1, Symelidis P. ⚽, Moreira M. (A),

Preview

Levadiakos is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Athens Kallithea's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Levadiakos will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Levadiakos: Balzi G. (Injury) Katris G. (Shoulder Injury) Vichos P. (Injury)

There will not play in Athens Kallithea: Barragan B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Athens Kallithea: Mughe F. R. (Injury) Vasilogiannis A. (Inactive) Vrakas G. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Levadiakos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadiakos FC
Greek Super League
05.05.25	Lamia - Levadiakos	2:3 ✺
28.04.25	Levadiakos - Lamia	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Athens Kallithea - Levadiakos	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	Volos - Levadiakos	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Levadiakos - Panserraikos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWLW
- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League
05.05.25	Athens Kallithea - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
28.04.25	Panetolikos - Athens Kallithea	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Athens Kallithea - Levadiakos	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Lamia - Athens Kallithea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
23.04.25	Athens Kallithea - Levadiakos	0:3
09.12.24	Athens Kallithea - Levadiakos	2:4
18.08.24	Levadiakos - Athens Kallithea	0:0
Greek Super League 2
23.03.22	Levadiakos - Athens Kallithea	1:1
05.12.21	Athens Kallithea - Levadiakos	0:1

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