Match Info

LaLiga - Round 27

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Andorra	16:15	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	12:15	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	19:15	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1
Australia	02:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	16:15	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	19:15	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	21:15	Begin
Bolivia	11:15	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:15	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	12:15	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:15	Max Sport 4
Canada	10:15	TSN+
China	23:15	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	10:15	ESPN 2
Croatia	16:15	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	16:15	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	16:15	TV2 Play
Ecuador	10:15	ESPN 2
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	17:15	MTV Katsomo+
France	16:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	19:15	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	16:15	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:15	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	23:15	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	16:15	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	20:45	FanCode
Indonesia	22:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	16:15	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:15	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	21:15	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	18:15	Gotv
Kosovo	16:15	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	21:15	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	22:15	beIN Connect
Macao	23:15	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	23:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	20:15	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	16:15	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	09:15	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	17:15	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	16:15	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	04:15	beIN Connect
Nigeria	16:15	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	16:15	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	12:15	ESPN 2
Peru	10:15	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	23:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	15:15	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:15	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	18:15	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	16:15	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	23:15	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	16:15	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	16:15	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	17:15	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	16:15	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	16:15	TV4 Play
Switzerland	16:15	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Tajikistan	20:15	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	22:15	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	18:15	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	20:15	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	17:15	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	15:15	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	12:15	Disney+
Usa	10:15	DAZN Espanol, ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	20:15	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	11:15	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	22:15	SCTV 15


	Levante		Girona

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.45
	2.78	3.25	2.62	Watch
	2.86	3.4	2.64
	2.74	3.38	2.59	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.5
	2.98	3.35	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.59)	3.3 ↓ (3.39)	2.55 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
33.8%

Draw
28.9%

Girona
37.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	33.3%	46.7%

Levante - Girona Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Levante will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Girona will win (votes: 14 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 28.8% – 64.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Levante (votes: 1 - 10%). Girona (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Girona (1.87) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Levante (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Levante (votes: 3 - 20%). Girona (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 4. Dela (C) 2. Moreno M. 23. Sanchez M. 20. Rey O. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 26. Tunde K. 9. Romero I. 27. Cortes F. 19. Espi C.	13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 2. Rincon H. 12. Vitor Reis 17. Blind D. 4. Martinez A. (C) 8. Beltran F. 20. Witsel A. 15. Tsygankov V. 11. Lemar T. 14. Echeverri C. 19. Vanat V.
Substitutes
55. Abed T. 16. Arriaga K. 37. Cervera D. 1. Cunat P. (G) 21. Etta Eyong K. 17. Garcia V. 18. Losada I. 3. Matturro A. 11. Morales J. 32. Primo A. (G) 6. Varela Pampin D. 12. Vencedor U.	1. Blanco R. (G) 16. Frances A. 29. Kourouma L. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 5. Lopez D. 23. Martin I. 18. Ounahi A. 3. Roca J. 9. Ruiz A.
Coaches
Castro L.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Tunde K. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
26', Rincon H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Espi C. ⚽, Garcia V. (A),
54', Echeverri C. ↓, Roca J. ↑,
54', Rincon H. ↓, Frances A. ↑,
59', Olasagasti J. A. 🟥,
63', Martinez A. ↓, Ounahi A. ↑,
66', Romero I. ↓, Arriaga K. ↑,
66', Espi C. ↓, Etta Eyong K. ↑,
72', Lemar T. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
72', Beltran F. ↓, Martin I. ↑,
77', Vitor Reis 🟨,
78', Cortes F. ↓, Matturro A. ↑,
78', Rey O. ↓, Vencedor U. ↑,
79', Sanchez M. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Roca J. ⚽, Frances A. (A),
90+7', Dela 🟨,
90+10', Castro L. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levante won 2.

Levante has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Girona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Girona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Levante: Alvarez C. (Injury) Brugue R. (Knee Injury) Elgezabal U. (Knee Injury) Martinez P. (Knee Injury) Raghouber U. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Gil B. (Ankle Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Moreno A. (Muscle Injury) Portu (Knee Injury) Stuani C. (Muscle Injury) ter Stegen M. (Hamstring Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Levante won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Levante won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Levante	10	2	4	4	16:19	-3	10

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Levante: 0.12%

Last Results with these Odds

Levante - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.67%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Girona - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 35.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga
27.02.26	Levante - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Barcelona - Levante	3:0 ✺
18.02.26	Levante - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Levante - Valencia	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Levante	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
01.03.26	Girona - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
23.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	2:2 ✺
16.02.26	Girona - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Sevilla - Girona	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Real Oviedo - Girona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Girona - Levante	0:4
12.05.19	Girona - Levante	1:2
04.01.19	Levante - Girona	2:2
31.03.18	Girona - Levante	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.11.17	Levante - Girona	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
05.11.17	Levante - Girona	1:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
26.10.17	Girona - Levante	0:2

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