Match Info

LaLiga - Round 22

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Real Oviedo		Girona

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.75	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.87
	2.82	2.98	2.78	Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.83
	2.83	3.02	2.76	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.7
	3.01	3.09	2.67	Watch
	2.75	3	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.67)	3.02 ↓ (3.16)	2.77 (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
34%

Draw
31.6%

Girona
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30.1%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

30%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Girona aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.7%	57.1%	32.1%

Real Oviedo - Girona Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). Girona will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Girona (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Girona (1.91) (votes: 8 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Girona (1.87) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Girona (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. (C) 16. Carmo D. 25. Lopez J. 10. Hassan H. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 7. Chaira I. 5. Reina A. 9. Vinas F.	22. ter Stegen M. (G) 4. Martinez A. (C) 12. Vitor Reis 17. Blind D. 24. Moreno A. 23. Martin I. 8. Beltran F. 11. Lemar T. 15. Tsygankov V. 21. Gil B. 19. Vanat V.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 24. Ahijado L. 17. Borbas T. 12. Calvo D. 8. Cazorla S. 20. Dendoncker L. 15. Fernandez T. 23. Fonseca N. 19. Fores A. 21. Ilic L. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 26. Narvaez M. (G)	32. Arango J. 14. Echeverri C. 16. Frances A. 13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 29. Kourouma L. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 5. Lopez D. 2. Rincon H. 3. Roca J. 9. Ruiz A. 7. Stuani C. 20. Witsel A.
Coaches
Almada G.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Carmo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Hassan H. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
64', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
69', Gil B. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
69', Martinez A. ↓, Rincon H. ↑,
70', Martin I. ↓, Witsel A. ↑,
70', Sibo K. ↓, Fonseca N. ↑,
70', Vidal N. ↓, Ahijado L. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Chaira I. ⚽, Fernandez T. (A),
79', Beltran F. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
80', Tsygankov V. 🟨,
87', Colombatto S. ↓, Dendoncker L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 0.

Recent form of Oviedo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Girona is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Girona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Oviedo: Alhassane R. (Muscle Injury) Bailly E. (Ankle Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury)

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Ounahi A. (Calf Injury) Portu (Knee Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
25.01.26	Barcelona - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Real Oviedo - Betis	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Real Oviedo - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTTT
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
26.01.26	Girona - Getafe	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Espanyol - Girona	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Girona - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Mallorca - Girona	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Girona - Atlético Madrid	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Girona - Real Oviedo	3:3
Spanish LaLiga2
06.03.22	Girona - Real Oviedo	2:1
26.09.21	Real Oviedo - Girona	0:0
25.04.21	Real Oviedo - Girona	0:1
18.10.20	Girona - Real Oviedo	1:0
26.01.20	Girona - Real Oviedo	1:1
20.10.19	Real Oviedo - Girona	4:2

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