Match Info

LaLiga - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Andorra	21:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	00:00	Idman TV
Bangladesh	02:00	Begin
Belarus	23:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	16:00	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	17:00	DirecTV Sports
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	SCTV 15


	Girona		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.7
	2.42	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.57	3.25	3.05
	2.45	3.29	2.98	Watch
	2.45	3	2.9
	2.54	3.25	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.62)	3.21 ↓ (3.38)	2.95 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
38%

Draw
29.6%

Celta de Vigo
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

27.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.9%	51.4%	29.7%

Girona - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 7 - 18.9%). Celta will win (votes: 11 - 29.7%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 51.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.3% – 67.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.25 - Celta (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Girona (1.39) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 3 - 30%). Celta (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 2. Rincon H. 12. Vitor Reis 17. Blind D. 4. Martinez A. (C) 8. Beltran F. 20. Witsel A. 11. Lemar T. 15. Tsygankov V. 21. Gil B. 19. Vanat V.	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 4. Aidoo J. 24. Dominguez C. (C) 3. Mingueza O. 16. Roman M. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 8. Lopez F. 9. Jutgla F. 23. Alvarez H.
Substitutes
1. Blanco R. (G) 14. Echeverri C. 16. Frances A. 29. Kourouma L. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 5. Lopez D. 23. Martin I. 18. Ounahi A. 3. Roca J. 9. Ruiz A.	36. Antanon A. 10. Aspas I. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 29. Lago Y. 14. Nunez A. 21. Ristic M. 17. Rueda J. 19. Swedberg W. 15. Vecino M. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Michel	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Vanat V. ⚽, Witsel A. (A),
42', Jutgla F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Jutgla F. ⚽, Mingueza O. (A),
59', Alvarez H. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
64', Lemar T. ↓, Ounahi A. ↑,
65', Gil B. ↓, Martin I. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Vitor Reis (Own goal),
73', Jutgla F. ↓, Antanon A. ↑,
73', Lopez F. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
73', Vanat V. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
73', Witsel A. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
81', Rincon H. ↓, Roca J. ↑,
81', Echeverri C. 🟨,
85', Dominguez C. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
85', Mingueza O. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
89', Martinez A. 🟨,
89', Swedberg W. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 2.

Recent performances by Girona have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Celta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Girona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Moreno A. (Muscle Injury) Portu (Knee Injury) ter Stegen M. (Hamstring Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Alonso M. (Injury) Cervi F. (Coach's decision) Duran P. (Knee Injury) Iglesias B. (Yellow Cards) Starfelt C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Celta: Gonzalez H. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Girona won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Celta Vigo	10	2	6	2	10:7	3	12

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Celta Vigo: 0.24%

Last Results with these Odds

Girona - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.98%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
23.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	2:2 ✺
16.02.26	Girona - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Sevilla - Girona	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Real Oviedo - Girona	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Girona - Getafe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWTLT
- Celta de Vigo
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Celta de Vigo - PAOK	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Mallorca	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	PAOK - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.02.26	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
14.09.25	Celta de Vigo - Girona	1:1
01.03.25	Girona - Celta de Vigo	2:2
29.09.24	Celta de Vigo - Girona	1:1
28.01.24	Celta de Vigo - Girona	0:1
27.10.23	Girona - Celta de Vigo	1:0
23.05.23	Celta de Vigo - Girona	1:1
26.08.22	Girona - Celta de Vigo	0:1

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