Match Info

LaLiga - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Girona		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.7
	2.42	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.57	3.25	3.05
	2.45	3.29	2.98	Watch
	2.45	3	2.9
	2.54	3.25	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.62)	3.21 ↓ (3.38)	2.95 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
38%

Draw
29.6%

Celta de Vigo
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.5%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.9%	51.4%	29.7%

Girona - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 7 - 18.9%). Celta will win (votes: 11 - 29.7%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 51.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.3% – 67.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.25 - Celta (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Girona (1.39) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 3 - 30%). Celta (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 2. Rincon H. 12. Vitor Reis 17. Blind D. 4. Martinez A. (C) 8. Beltran F. 20. Witsel A. 11. Lemar T. 15. Tsygankov V. 21. Gil B. 19. Vanat V.	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 4. Aidoo J. 24. Dominguez C. (C) 3. Mingueza O. 16. Roman M. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 8. Lopez F. 9. Jutgla F. 23. Alvarez H.
Substitutes
1. Blanco R. (G) 14. Echeverri C. 16. Frances A. 29. Kourouma L. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 5. Lopez D. 23. Martin I. 18. Ounahi A. 3. Roca J. 9. Ruiz A.	36. Antanon A. 10. Aspas I. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 29. Lago Y. 14. Nunez A. 21. Ristic M. 17. Rueda J. 19. Swedberg W. 15. Vecino M. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Michel	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Vanat V. ⚽, Witsel A. (A),
42', Jutgla F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Jutgla F. ⚽, Mingueza O. (A),
59', Alvarez H. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
64', Lemar T. ↓, Ounahi A. ↑,
65', Gil B. ↓, Martin I. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Vitor Reis (Own goal),
73', Jutgla F. ↓, Antanon A. ↑,
73', Lopez F. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
73', Vanat V. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
73', Witsel A. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
81', Rincon H. ↓, Roca J. ↑,
81', Echeverri C. 🟨,
85', Dominguez C. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
85', Mingueza O. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
89', Martinez A. 🟨,
89', Swedberg W. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 2.

Recent performances by Girona have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Celta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Girona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Moreno A. (Muscle Injury) Portu (Knee Injury) ter Stegen M. (Hamstring Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Alonso M. (Injury) Cervi F. (Coach's decision) Duran P. (Knee Injury) Iglesias B. (Yellow Cards) Starfelt C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Celta: Gonzalez H. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Girona won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Celta Vigo: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8:6	2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Girona - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.98%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
23.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	2:2 ✺
16.02.26	Girona - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Sevilla - Girona	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Real Oviedo - Girona	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Girona - Getafe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWTLT
- Celta de Vigo
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Celta de Vigo - PAOK	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Mallorca	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	PAOK - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.02.26	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
14.09.25	Celta de Vigo - Girona	1:1
01.03.25	Girona - Celta de Vigo	2:2
29.09.24	Celta de Vigo - Girona	1:1
28.01.24	Celta de Vigo - Girona	0:1
27.10.23	Girona - Celta de Vigo	1:0
23.05.23	Celta de Vigo - Girona	1:1
26.08.22	Girona - Celta de Vigo	0:1

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