Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Levski Sofia		Braga

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.75	1.53	Watch
	6	4.1	1.51
	6.4	3.95	1.52
	6.36	4.01	1.53
	6.25	3.56	1.61	Watch
	6	4	1.44
	6.22	4.1	1.57	Watch
	6	4.2	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.22 ↑ (6)	3.96 ↓ (4.2)	1.52 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levski Sofia
15%

Draw
23.6%

Braga
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

21.8%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levski Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	13.3%	80%

Levski Sofia - Braga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Braga (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Levski (3.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Braga will win (36 of 42 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.13% – 96.29%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Levski (votes: 3 - 13%). Braga (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Vutsov S. (G) 21. Neves A. 50. Dimitrov K. 4. Makoun C. 3. Maicon 18. Trdin G. 70. Kostadinov G. 37. Rildo 88. Petkov M. (C) 12. Sangare M. 99. Kirilov R.	1. Hornicek L. (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 6. Vitor Carvalho 15. Oliveira P. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 8. Moutinho J. 29. Gorby 20. Dorgeles M. 10. Zalazar R. 39. Navarro F. 21. Horta R. (C)
Substitutes
17. Everton Bala 95. Fabien K. 71. Kamdem O. 7. Lima F. 78. Lukov M. (G) 10. Mitkov A. 23. Myslovic P. 8. Ohene C. 77. Rupanov B. 6. Tsunami 1. Vladimirov O. (G)	36. Bellaarouch A. (G) 41. da Rocha Y. 9. El Ouazzani A. 7. Fernandes R. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 11. Gharbi I. 2. Gomez V. 5. Lelo L. 4. Niakate S. 50. Rodrigues D. 12. Sa T. (G) 95. Vidigal S.
Coaches
Velazquez J.	Vicens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
34', Dimitrov K. 🟨,
43', Navarro F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Neves A. 🟨,
61', Rildo ↓, Everton Bala ↑,
61', Neves A. ↓, Kamdem O. ↑,
69', Lagerbielke G. ↓, Niakate S. ↑,
69', Navarro F. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
74', Kirilov R. ↓, Ohene C. ↑,
74', Trdin G. ↓, Fabien K. ↑,
79', Zalazar R. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
82', Dorgeles M. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
86', Petkov M. ↓, Rupanov B. ↑,
88', Oliveira P. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Levski has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Braga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Levski has had a series of home games.

In this match, Braga is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levski Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.07.25	Levski Sofia - Montana	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.07.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Levski Sofia	1:2 penalties ✺
10.07.25	Levski Sofia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.25	Levski Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	3:2 ✺
29.06.25	Levski Sofia - Montana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTWW
- SC Braga
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Braga - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ✺
12.07.25	Panathinaikos - Braga	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Wolfsberger - Braga	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Braga - Benfica	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Casa Pia - Braga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWTL

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