The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casa Pia 17.2%
Draw 24.3%
Braga 58.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.6%
22%
65.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.3%
21.5%
66.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.6%
5.9%
76.5%
Casa Pia - Braga Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Braga will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sequeira P. (G) 4. Goulart J. 18. Geraldes A. (C) 43. Sousa D. 72. Larrazabal G. 24. Mohamed I. 80. Ofori L. 75. Rosas P. 29. Livolant J. 10. Livramento D. 99. Mendes C.
1. Hornicek L. (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 15. Oliveira P. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 2. Gomez V. 29. Gorby 8. Moutinho J. 77. Martinez G. 34. Tiknaz D. E. 21. Horta R. (C) 18. Victor P.
Substitutes
8. Brito R. 90. Cassiano 3. Kaly 32. Kiki 95. Mandic I. (G) 21. Morais T. 13. Osundina K. 42. Perez S. 19. Prieto K.
41. da Rocha Y. 20. Dorgeles M. 9. El Ouazzani A. 5. Lelo L. 90. Luisinho 39. Navarro F. 12. Sa T. (G) 6. Vitor Carvalho 10. Zalazar R.
Coaches
Pacheco A.
Vicens C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Sousa D. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Victor P. ⚽, Tiknaz D. E. (A),
45', Victor P. 🟨,
45', Geraldes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mendes C. ↓, Cassiano ↑,
47', Moutinho J. 🟨,
61', Livramento D. ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
62', Hornicek L. 🟨,
62', Victor P. ↓, Zalazar R. ↑,
63', Martinez G. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
71', Mohamed I. ↓, Brito R. ↑,
71', Ofori L. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
71', Moutinho J. ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 2.
Recent form of Casa Pia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Braga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Braga is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Casa Pia: Batista R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Braga: Barisic A.
(Muscle Injury)
Niakate S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rodrigues D.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Casa Pia: Conte A.
(Inactive)
Fonte J.
(Inactive)
Severina X.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Braga: Arrey-Mbi B.
(Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
Africa
Brazil
Finland
France
Greece
Israel
Portugal
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World
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Sequeira P. (G) 
Goulart J. 
Sousa D. 
Larrazabal G. 
Mohamed I. 
Ofori L. 
Livolant J. 
Livramento D. 
Mendes C. 
Hornicek L. (G) 
Lagerbielke G. 
Tiknaz D. E. 
Kaly 
Mandic I. (G) 
Osundina K. 
Perez S. 
Prieto K. 
Dorgeles M. 
El Ouazzani A. 
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