Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 40

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Lewes		Kingstonian

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	6
	1.36	5	6	Watch
	1.38	4.87	6.64
	1.36	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	4.91 ↑ (4.75)	6.16 ↓ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
66.7%

Draw
18.6%

Kingstonian
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

19.1%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

18%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Kingstonian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingstonian than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Figueira W. ⚽,
78', 2 - 0, Vint R. ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Mason J. ⚽,
90+4', Figueira W. 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Kingstonian is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lewes won 3.

Recent matches Lewes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kingstonian is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lewes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lewes is certain favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Lewes won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Lewes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.04.24	Canvey Island - Lewes	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Cheshunt - Lewes	4:0 ✺
01.04.24	Lewes - Whitehawk	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Folkestone Invicta - Lewes	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Lewes - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTLW
- Kingstonian
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.04.24	Kingstonian - Margate	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Chatham Town - Kingstonian	4:1 ✺
30.03.24	Kingstonian - Hashtag United	3:5 ✺
23.03.24	Potters Bar Town - Kingstonian	6:1 ✺
20.03.24	Kingstonian - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.08.23	Kingstonian - Lewes	1:3
04.02.23	Lewes - Kingstonian	3:0
07.12.22	Kingstonian - Lewes	1:3
16.04.22	Lewes - Kingstonian	3:3
03.01.22	Kingstonian - Lewes	4:2
07.03.20	Lewes - Kingstonian	1:2
16.11.19	Kingstonian - Lewes	3:1

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