Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lexington		Forward Madison

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.7	5.4
	1.51	3.89	5.36
	2.00	2.74	4.61	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5
	1.62	3.72	4.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)	3.53 ↓ (3.78)	5.01 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
55.9%

Draw
25.9%

Forward Madison
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

24.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Lexington - Forward Madison Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Semmle O. (G) 2. Greene J. 5. Burks K. 4. Ordonez A. 23. Brown J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 12. Zengue X. 18. Henry-Scott M. 7. Epps M. 9. Goodrum P.	1. Harms J. (G) 3. Edwards A. 13. Humphrey T. (C) 20. Carmichael K. 4. McCamy C. 23. Munjoma E. 11. Ngoubou C. 12. Torres R. 16. Castro J. 14. Gyamfi S. 9. Carmichael R.
Substitutes
40. Addams G. (G) 10. Adedokun M. 30. Blessing L. 14. Caborn A. 22. Hafferty J. 21. Muir M. 8. Nick Firmino 19. Scott T. 20. Yosef M.	7. Bolma J. 6. Kanyane G. 30. Machacen E. 19. Manske T. (G) 18. Romanshyn K. 5. Shannon J. 33. Toure K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', Goodrum P. 🟨,
35', Molloy A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Zengue X. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Edwards A. ⚽, McCamy C. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', Torres R. ↓, Machacen E. ↑,
63', Henry-Scott M. ↓, Blessing L. ↑,
63', Brown J. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Greene J. ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, Epps M. ⚽,
69', Edwards A. ↓, Kanyane G. ↑,
69', Gyamfi S. ↓, Bolma J. ↑,
69', Castro J. ↓, Romanshyn K. ↑,
70', 3 - 2, Zengue X. (Own goal),
75', Munjoma E. ↓, Toure K. ↑,
83', Greene J. ↓, Hafferty J. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 2, Goodrum P. ⚽, Epps M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0.

Recent form of Lexington has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Forward Madison has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lexington is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL Championship
18.04.26	Orange County SC - Lexington	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lexington - Rhode Island	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Lexington	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Lexington - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
29.03.26	San Antonio - Lexington	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLL
- Forward Madison
USL League One
19.04.26	New York Cosmos - Forward Madison	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Union Omaha - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Naples - Forward Madison	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
19.03.26	Flint City Bucks - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL League One
14.03.26	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
24.08.24	Lexington - Forward Madison	0:0
USL Cup
20.07.24	Forward Madison - Lexington	1:0
USL League One
01.06.24	Forward Madison - Lexington	4:1
30.09.23	Forward Madison - Lexington	2:2
22.06.23	Forward Madison - Lexington	3:2
08.04.23	Lexington - Forward Madison	0:0

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