Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Lexington		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.4	1.98
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.27	3.48	2.02
	3.36	3.56	2.05	Watch
	3.27	3.44	2	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.27)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	2.01 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
28.3%

Draw
26.3%

One Knoxville
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

26.9%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

26.4%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Lexington - One Knoxville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Knight A. (G) 21. Young C. 44. Mendez M. 16. Uche C. 12. Corrales J. (C) 8. Yankam Y. 6. Caputo A. 32. Diouf A. 19. Canadi M. 77. Brown N. 17. Lancaster C.	1. Lewis S. (G) 40. O'Hearn S. 5. Crisler J. 4. Skelton J. 13. Fernandez D. 22. Ritchie S. 12. Johnson C. 3. Haugli S. 8. Kelly-Rosales A. 10. Tekiela K. 11. Ross F.
Substitutes
18. Agboola M. 7. Cano I. 1. Causey A. (G) 11. Cerritos A. 5. Fox K. 20. Lacey K. 2. Robertson T.	17. Ballard R. 91. Calixtro G. 9. Castro R. 25. Garibay J. (G) 16. Thomas J. 6. van der Pluijm Y. 21. Zarokostas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Caputo A. 🟨,
19', Mendez M. 🟨,
20', Kelly-Rosales A. 🟥,
22', Diouf A. 🟨,
27', Corrales J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Caputo A. ↓, Cerritos A. ↑,
59', Young C. 🟨,
59', Skelton J. 🟨,
67', Yankam Y. ↓, Lacey K. ↑,
67', Ross F. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
68', Ritchie S. ↓, Ballard R. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Ballard R. ⚽, Haugli S. (A),
74', Mendez M. ↓, Fox K. ↑,
75', Crisler J. 🟨,
80', Tekiela K. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
80', Haugli S. ↓, van der Pluijm Y. ↑,
82', Uche C. ↓, Agboola M. ↑,
82', Young C. ↓, Robertson T. ↑,
84', O'Hearn S. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
89', Lewis S. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL League One
07.09.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Lexington	5:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.08.24	Lexington - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:3 penalties ✺
USL League One
24.08.24	Lexington - Forward Madison	0:0 ✺
16.08.24	Central Valley Fuego - Lexington	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
10.08.24	Lexington - One Knoxville	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTWW
- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
07.09.24	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
01.09.24	South Georgia Tormenta - One Knoxville	0:1 ✺
USL League One
23.08.24	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	1:1 ✺
16.08.24	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	4:1 ✺
USL Cup
10.08.24	Lexington - One Knoxville	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
10.08.24	Lexington - One Knoxville	1:0 penalties
08.06.24	One Knoxville - Lexington	2:0
USL League One
23.03.24	One Knoxville - Lexington	2:0
18.08.23	One Knoxville - Lexington	1:0
27.05.23	Lexington - One Knoxville	1:1

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