Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday

Location: Fresno State Soccer Stadium (Fresno, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Central Valley Fuego		Lexington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.6
	2.25	3.6	2.65
	2.24	3.75	2.73
	2.23	3.7	2.72	Watch
	2.21	3.66	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.43)	3.64 ↑ (3.52)	2.68 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Valley Fuego
40.9%

Draw
25.1%

Lexington
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

25.8%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Valley Fuego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Valley Fuego than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Central Valley Fuego - Lexington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Avilez C. (C) 15. Torr C. 24. Bustamante B. 33. Vinberg S. 34. Garcia S. 10. Carrera J. 8. Heckenberg C. 17. Lemus O. 7. John-Brown S. 9. Benson Bodden D. O. 20. Midence A.	13. Knight A. (G) 21. Young C. 44. Mendez M. 5. Fox K. 12. Corrales J. (C) 6. Caputo A. 8. Yankam Y. 32. Diouf A. 11. Cerritos A. 77. Brown N. 17. Lancaster C.
Substitutes
3. Apollon A. 26. Chalmers T. 6. Dabo M. 27. Lawal Q. 11. Mendiola R. 31. Nembhard D. 14. Vazquez Z. 25. Yaya I. A. 1. Zuluaga A. (G)	23. Campuzano N. (G) 7. Cano I. 4. Jackson K. 98. Loera D. 25. Mane P. 15. Patti A. 2. Robertson T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Lancaster C. ⚽, Diouf A. (A),
40', Knight A. 🟨,
42', Heckenberg C. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Diouf A. ⚽, Yankam Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Garcia S. ↓, Apollon A. ↑,
49', 🟨,
54', 0 - 3, Cerritos A. ⚽,
62', Diouf A. ↓, Cano I. ↑,
64', John-Brown S. ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
64', Lemus O. ↓, Nembhard D. ↑,
77', Vinberg S. 🟨,
77', Midence A. ↓, Mendiola R. ↑,
81', Lancaster C. ↓, Robertson T. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Carrera J. ⚽,
88', Caputo A. ↓, Mane P. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Valley Fuego
USL Cup
09.08.24	Central Valley Fuego - Union Omaha	0:1 ✺
USL League One
03.08.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Central Valley Fuego	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Central Valley Fuego - South Georgia Tormenta	3:2 ✺
24.07.24	Forward Madison - Central Valley Fuego	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
19.07.24	Central Valley Fuego - Spokane Velocity	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWLW
- Lexington SC
USL Cup
10.08.24	Lexington - One Knoxville	1:0 penalties ✺
USL League One
03.08.24	Charlotte Independence - Lexington	3:3 ✺
27.07.24	Lexington - Richmond Kickers	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
20.07.24	Forward Madison - Lexington	1:0 ✺
USL League One
13.07.24	Lexington - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
11.05.24	Lexington - Central Valley Fuego	3:2 penalties
USL League One
10.09.23	Central Valley Fuego - Lexington	2:2
12.08.23	Lexington - Central Valley Fuego	3:2
15.07.23	Central Valley Fuego - Lexington	2:1

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