Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	One Knoxville		Spokane Velocity

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.04	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 (2.04)	3.25 (3.25)	3.15 (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
44%

Draw
27.6%

Spokane Velocity
28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

29.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for One Knoxville have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Spokane Velocity have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 6th in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with One Knoxville holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, One Knoxville has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:3 (averaging 1.7:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for One Knoxville against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1.3:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
6	Spokane Velocity	27	14	5	8	41:36	5	47

Last Results with these Odds

One Knoxville - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 43.95%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
07.10.26	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Richmond Kickers - One Knoxville	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	One Knoxville - Westchester SC	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Fort Wayne - One Knoxville	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTLW
- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
03.10.26	Spokane Velocity - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:3 ✺
30.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Spokane Velocity - Boise	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
20.06.26	Spokane Velocity - One Knoxville	0:4
16.11.25	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	2:0
30.08.25	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	1:0
16.03.25	Spokane Velocity - One Knoxville	2:2
26.10.24	Spokane Velocity - One Knoxville	0:0
23.08.24	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	1:1

One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide