Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Lexington		South Georgia Tormenta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.6
	2.3	3.4	2.7
	2.37	3.45	2.77
	2.36	3.48	2.65	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.6
	2.34	3.26	2.68	Watch
	2.39	3.35	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.6)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	2.66 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
38.8%

Draw
27%

South Georgia Tormenta
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.6%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

South Georgia Tormenta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Lexington - South Georgia Tormenta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Knight A. (G) 21. Young C. 44. Mendez M. 5. Fox K. 12. Corrales J. (C) 6. Caputo A. 8. Yankam Y. 2. Robertson T. 32. Diouf A. 77. Brown N. 9. Liadi A.	12. Romig A. (G) 6. Stretch C. 25. Dengler J. (C) 23. Kilwien P. 3. Ramos J. 8. Steedman D. 30. Doyle C. 5. Hasan A. 16. Tunbridge M. 10. Pedro Fonseca 15. Wehner A.
Substitutes
23. Campuzano N. (G) 7. Cano I. 74. Ceja E. 11. Cerritos A. 4. Jackson K. 25. Mane P. 15. Patti A.	14. Akoto N. 19. D'Almeida T. 11. Khoury J. 21. Spengler P. 9. Vivas S. 7. Watson N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Dengler J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Diouf A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Wehner A. ↓, Vivas S. ↑,
46', Stretch C. ↓, Akoto N. ↑,
46', Ramos J. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
49', Khoury J. 🟨,
56', Robertson T. 🟨,
59', Mendez M. 🟨,
59', Kilwien P. 🟨,
60', Diouf A. 🟨,
62', Tunbridge M. ↓, Spengler P. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Vivas S. ⚽, Pedro Fonseca (A),
70', Robertson T. ↓, Cerritos A. ↑,
74', Caputo A. 🟨,
77', Steedman D. ↓, D'Almeida T. ↑,
78', Spengler P. 🟨,
80', Brown N. 🟨,
82', Hasan A. 🟨,
82', Brown N. ↓, Cano I. ↑,
86', Yankam Y. 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, Pedro Fonseca ⚽, Akoto N. (A),
88', Pedro Fonseca 🟨,
90+4', Spengler P. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL League One
06.07.24	Lexington - Union Omaha	2:4 ✺
USL Cup
29.06.24	Greenville Triumph - Lexington	0:1 ✺
USL League One
23.06.24	Spokane Velocity - Lexington	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
08.06.24	One Knoxville - Lexington	2:0 ✺
USL League One
01.06.24	Forward Madison - Lexington	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWTLL
- South Georgia Tormenta
USL League One
05.07.24	South Georgia Tormenta - One Knoxville	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
29.06.24	Central Valley Fuego - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
22.06.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - South Georgia Tormenta	3:2 ✺
15.06.24	Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
09.06.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
06.04.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Lexington	3:0
02.07.23	Lexington - South Georgia Tormenta	1:5
10.06.23	South Georgia Tormenta - Lexington	1:1
15.04.23	Lexington - South Georgia Tormenta	2:1

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