Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, YouTube


	Lexington		Union Omaha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.5	1.71
	4	3.75	1.72
	3.81	3.63	1.87
	4.24	3.91	1.68	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.83
	4.35	3.93	1.71	Watch
	4.1	3.8	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.71)	3.72 ↑ (3.56)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
22.8%

Draw
24.6%

Union Omaha
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

25.6%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

24.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Lexington - Union Omaha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Knight A. (C) 21. Young C. 44. Mendez M. 16. Uche C. 3. Ackon E. 2. Robertson T. 32. Diouf A. 6. Caputo A. 7. Cano I. 77. Brown N. 9. Liadi A.	24. Nuhu R. (C) 4. Mastrantonio L. 3. Malone B. 5. Milanese M. 26. Acoff D. 7. Gallardo J. 9. Pedro Dolabella 6. PC 70. Kunga L. 10. Dos Santos S. 21. Gomez J.
Substitutes
23. Campuzano N. (G) 11. Cerritos A. 12. Corrales J. 5. Fox K. 25. Mane P. 10. Onen J. 8. Yankam Y.	77. Bawa I. 2. Jerome M. 15. Knapp B. 36. Lapsley W. (G) 11. Lewis Z. 8. Nortey N. 99. Rodriguez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
7', Mendez M. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Pedro Dolabella (Pen),
20', 0 - 2, Dos Santos S. ⚽, Kunga L. (A),
27', Malone B. 🟨,
34', 0 - 3, Dos Santos S. ⚽, Gomez J. (A),
38', Uche C. 🟨,
39', 0 - 4, Caputo A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ackon E. ↓, Corrales J. ↑,
46', Cano I. ↓, Onen J. ↑,
59', Liadi A. 🟨,
61', Robertson T. ↓, Cerritos A. ↑,
63', 1 - 4, Onen J. ⚽, Cerritos A. (A),
67', Milanese M. ↓, Jerome M. ↑,
73', Liadi A. ↓, Yankam Y. ↑,
77', Gomez J. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
77', Kunga L. ↓, Knapp B. ↑,
84', Brown N. ↓, Mane P. ↑,
87', Acoff D. ↓, Bawa I. ↑,
87', Dos Santos S. ↓, Nortey N. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 4, Malone B. (Own goal),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL Cup
29.06.24	Greenville Triumph - Lexington	0:1 ✺
USL League One
23.06.24	Spokane Velocity - Lexington	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
08.06.24	One Knoxville - Lexington	2:0 ✺
USL League One
01.06.24	Forward Madison - Lexington	4:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.05.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Lexington	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WTLLW
- Union Omaha
USL Cup
27.06.24	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	4:2 ✺
USL League One
20.06.24	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
13.06.24	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	4:1 ✺
USL League One
05.06.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	2:5 ✺
01.06.24	Union Omaha - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
02.08.23	Union Omaha - Lexington	2:0
22.07.23	Lexington - Union Omaha	3:0

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