Match Info

USA: USL League One Cup

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Forward Madison		Lexington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.67	3.76	4.24
	1.67	3.89	4.28	Watch
	1.64	3.84	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)	3.83 ↑ (3.75)	4.32 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
55%

Draw
23.8%

Lexington
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

23%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Forward Madison - Lexington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 2. Chilaka M. 4. Osmond M. (C) 16. Crull J. 22. Payne S. 21. Villalobos J. 19. Galindrez J. 10. Mesias A. 17. Gebhard D. 8. Boyce D. 9. Chaney C.	13. Knight A. (G) 44. Mendez M. 16. Uche C. 5. Fox K. 12. Corrales J. (C) 8. Yankam Y. 6. Caputo A. 21. Young C. 32. Diouf A. 77. Brown N. 9. Liadi A.
Substitutes
11. Dieye C. 12. McLaughlin G. 5. Mehl T. 6. Murphy J. 7. Prentice W. 99. Sanchez M. (G) 25. Sousa F.	23. Campuzano N. (G) 7. Cano I. 11. Cerritos A. 4. Jackson K. 17. Lancaster C. 25. Mane P. 15. Patti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Uche C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Galindrez J. ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
72', Brown N. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
74', Payne S. ↓, Sousa F. ↑,
74', Boyce D. ↓, Dieye C. ↑,
74', Gebhard D. ↓, Prentice W. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Prentice W. ⚽, Osmond M. (A),
81', Caputo A. ↓, Cerritos A. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Forward Madison is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lexington is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forward Madison could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Forward Madison is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Forward Madison won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
03.07.24	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
29.06.24	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL League One
20.06.24	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
08.06.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWTW
- Lexington SC
USL League One
13.07.24	Lexington - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 ✺
06.07.24	Lexington - Union Omaha	2:4 ✺
USL Cup
29.06.24	Greenville Triumph - Lexington	0:1 ✺
USL League One
23.06.24	Spokane Velocity - Lexington	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
08.06.24	One Knoxville - Lexington	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
01.06.24	Forward Madison - Lexington	4:1
30.09.23	Forward Madison - Lexington	2:2
22.06.23	Forward Madison - Lexington	3:2
08.04.23	Lexington - Forward Madison	0:0

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