Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 18

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Leyton Orient		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4
	1.88	3.5	3.9
	1.87	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.64	4.16
	1.89	3.47	4.03	Watch
	1.91	3.5	4
	1.9	3.65	3.97	Watch
	1.87	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.73)	3.52 ↓ (3.72)	4.06 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
50%

Draw
26.8%

Bristol Rovers
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25.4%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.1%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leyton Orient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	21.4%	28.6%

Leyton Orient - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Keeley J. (G) 2. James T. 19. Beckles O. 5. Happe D. 12. Currie J. 15. Ball D. 18. Pratley D. (C) 20. Perkins S. 17. Donley J. 21. O'Neill O. 7. Agyei D.	1. Griffiths J. (G) 4. Moore T. 17. Taylor C. 5. Wilson J. 6. Mola C. 29. Lindsay J. 8. Ward G. 28. Forde S. 10. Sotiriou R. 7. Sinclair S. (C) 18. Martin C.
Substitutes
8. Brown J. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 23. Kelman C. 29. Obiero Z. 26. Phillips N. (G) 4. Simpson J. 3. Sweeney J.	27. Bilongo B. 25. Forbes M. 14. Garrett J. 19. Hutchinson I. 23. McCormick L. 24. O'Donkor G. 2. Senior J.
Coaches
Wellens R.	Taylor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', Pratley D. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
17', 1 - 0, Happe D. ⚽, James T. (A),
29', 2 - 0, O'Neill O. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, Agyei D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Mola C. ↓, Forbes M. ↑,
57', Moore T. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
57', Happe D. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
65', Forbes M. 🟨,
66', Sotiriou R. ↓, O'Donkor G. ↑,
67', Ward G. ↓, McCormick L. ↑,
78', Currie J. 🟨,
80', Lindsay J. ↓, Garrett J. ↑,
85', Agyei D. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
86', Currie J. ↓, Sweeney J. ↑,
86', O'Neill O. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 1.

Leyton Orient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Leyton Orient - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ET ✺
English League One
26.11.24	Leyton Orient - Huddersfield Town	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Leyton Orient	1:3 ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Leyton Orient - Blackpool	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTWW
- Bristol Rovers
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Barnsley - Bristol Rovers	0:1 penalties ✺
English League One
26.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Mansfield Town - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
02.03.24	Leyton Orient - Bristol Rovers	0:1
28.11.23	Bristol Rovers - Leyton Orient	1:1
English League Two
22.02.22	Leyton Orient - Bristol Rovers	0:2
18.09.21	Bristol Rovers - Leyton Orient	1:3
English EFL Trophy
08.12.20	Leyton Orient - Bristol Rovers	1:2
04.12.19	Bristol Rovers - Leyton Orient	2:1 penalties
English League Two
28.12.15	Bristol Rovers - Leyton Orient	2:1

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