The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol Rovers 47.6%
Draw 27.6%
Crawley Town 24.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.7%
26.4%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
26%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
37.5%
0%
Bristol Rovers - Crawley Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 29% โ 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Young B. (G) 17. Balmer K. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 26. Harbottle R. 2. Senior J. 36. Smallwood R. 24. Leigh T. 3. Sparkes J. 7. Forde S. 35. Rijks M. 19. Harrison E.
35. Chapman J. (G) 41. Gordon K. 5. Barker C. 2. Malone S. 12. Richards L. 22. Adeyemo A. 26. Williams J. (C) 30. Copley L. 7. Forster H. 38. Adeyemo T. 13. McKirdy H.
Substitutes
10. Akhamrich Y. 29. Cavegn F. 15. De Havilland R. 12. Lockyer T. 27. Quigley J. 1. Southwood L. (G) 11. Thomas L.
44. Lolos K. 31. Odimayo A. 19. Pereira D. 16. Russell J. 27. Watson L. 34. Wollacott J. (G)
Coaches
Evans S.
Kazim-Richards C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Harrison E. ⚽, Balmer K. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Rijks M. ⚽, Senior J. (A),
33', Gordon K. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
40', Harbottle R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Harbottle R. ↓, Lockyer T. ↑,
59', Adeyemo A. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
71', Richards L. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
71', Adeyemo T. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
77', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Watson L. ⚽, Copley L. (A),
86', Forde S. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
86', Rijks M. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
88', Lockyer T. 🟥,
90+6', 3 - 1, Akhamrich Y. ⚽, Smallwood R. (A),
90+8', Leigh T. 🟨,
90+8', Lolos K. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 0.
Bristol Rovers is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Crawley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Bristol Rovers might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P.
(Inactive)
Southam-Hales M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Crawley: Vassell T.
(Injury)
Williams J.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Crawley: Bajrami G.
(Inactive)
Loft R.
(Injury)
Orsi-Dadomo D.
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).
United Kingdom
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Young B. (G) 
Balmer K. 
Rijks M. 
Harrison E. 
Chapman J. (G) 
Richards L. 
Williams J. (C) 
Adeyemo T. 
Akhamrich Y. 
Cavegn F. 
Lolos K. 
Pereira D. 
Wollacott J. (G) 
Evans S. 
Kazim-Richards C. 
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