Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Baines D. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.2
	3.1	3.4	2.15
	3.1	3.5	2.2
	3.28	3.48	2.24
	3.22	3.37	2.18	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.25
	3.23	3.48	2.21
	3.1	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.14)	3.43 (3.43)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
29.6%

Draw
27.5%

Lincoln City
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

27.6%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

27.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Lincoln City aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Lincoln will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Griffiths J. (G) 4. Moore T. 17. Taylor C. 5. Wilson J. (C) 6. Mola C. 29. Lindsay J. 22. Conteh K. 28. Forde S. 23. McCormick L. 19. Hutchinson I. 18. Martin C.	1. Wickens G. (G) 4. Montsma L. 15. O'Connor P. (C) 23. Roughan S. 14. McGrandles C. 2. Darikwa T. 11. Hamilton E. 16. Jefferies D. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 27. Makama J. 18. House B.
Substitutes
27. Bilongo B. 25. Forbes M. 14. Garrett J. 7. Sinclair S. 10. Sotiriou R. 3. Sousa L. 8. Ward G.	9. Cadamarteri B. 34. Draper F. 17. Duffy D. 10. McKiernan J. J. 28. Moylan J. 21. Pardington J. (G) 12. Ring E.
Coaches
Taylor M.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Forde S. ⚽,
45+2', Wilson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Moore T. 🟨,
59', Jefferies D. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
62', Martin C. 🟨,
62', Moylan J. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Moylan J. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
66', Makama J. ↓, Cadamarteri B. ↑,
67', House B. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
71', McCormick L. ↓, Forbes M. ↑,
74', Forde S. 🟨,
78', Lindsay J. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
78', Martin C. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
86', Forde S. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
86', Hamilton E. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
90', Montsma L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lincoln will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.3:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ET ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Exeter City	2:3 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Reading - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Huddersfield Town - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWL
- Lincoln City
English FA Cup
04.11.24	Chesham United - Lincoln City	0:4 ✺
English League One
29.10.24	Lincoln City - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Lincoln City - Stockport County	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Crawley Town - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Lincoln City - Birmingham City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
16.03.24	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	5:0
02.09.23	Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City	1:1
11.02.23	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	1:0
17.09.22	Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City	3:6
17.04.21	Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City	0:1
10.10.20	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	1:2
14.09.19	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	0:1

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