Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy

Date: 12 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadium MK (Milton Keynes)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Milton Keynes Dons		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.55
	2.5	3.3	2.35
	2.55	3.5	2.5
	2.54	3.6	2.52
	2.6	3.49	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.38
	2.57	3.52	2.45
	2.55	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.64)	3.46 ↑ (3.22)	2.47 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
36.2%

Draw
26.6%

Leyton Orient
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.7%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

28.7%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	22.2%	27.8%

Milton Keynes Dons - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Harness N. (G) 36. Stirland C. 4. Tucker J. 3. Lewington D. (C) 37. Wood A. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 2. Pritchard J. 21. Ilunga B. 22. Hendry C. 18. Leigh T. 9. Harrison E.	1. Hemming Z. (G) 2. James T. 6. Cooper B. 5. Happe D. (C) 12. Currie J. 16. Warrington L. 20. Perkins S. 17. Donley J. 29. Obiero Z. 10. Graham J. 23. Kelman C.
Substitutes
50. Brammeld M. 38. Lewis-Burgess K. 49. Medwynter C. 40. Silver R. 45. Sinclair-Linton K. 51. Stacey S. (G) 47. Troso S.	7. Agyei D. 19. Beckles O. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 21. O'Neill O. 26. Phillips N. (G) 18. Pratley D. 3. Sweeney J.
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Wellens R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Kelman C. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Perkins S. ⚽, Kelman C. (A),
23', Hendry C. 🟨,
25', James T. 🟨,
33', 1 - 2, Hendry C. ⚽, Harrison E. (A),
38', Lewington D. 🟨,
45', Obiero Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Happe D. 🟨,
57', Graham J. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,
57', Perkins S. ↓, O'Neill O. ↑,
67', Warrington L. ↓, Pratley D. ↑,
67', Donley J. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
76', Cooper B. 🟨,
77', Obiero Z. ↓, Sweeney J. ↑,
79', Wood A. 🟨,
85', Wood A. ↓, Brammeld M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Agyei D. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 3.

MK Dons is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
09.11.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon	0:2 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:3 ✺
22.10.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Morecambe - Milton Keynes Dons	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW
- Leyton Orient
English League One
09.11.24	Leyton Orient - Blackpool	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Boreham Wood - Leyton Orient	2:3 penalties ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Leyton Orient	3:0 ✺
22.10.24	Leyton Orient - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Northampton Town - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
30.11.21	Leyton Orient - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1 penalties
English League Cup
11.08.15	Milton Keynes Dons - Leyton Orient	2:1
English League One
18.04.15	Milton Keynes Dons - Leyton Orient	6:1
18.10.14	Leyton Orient - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0
03.05.14	Milton Keynes Dons - Leyton Orient	1:3
12.10.13	Leyton Orient - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1
13.04.13	Leyton Orient - Milton Keynes Dons	2:0

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