The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leyton Orient 63.2%
Draw 23.1%
Hartlepool United 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
29.1%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
28.8%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leyton Orient's performance.
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartlepool United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-14%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
11.1%
22.2%
Leyton Orient - Hartlepool United Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 44.9% – 88.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (12.2%), has project points - 78, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a chance of promoted (41%), has a small chance of win league (12%).
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (29.25%), has project points - 41, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality8, importance44, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 1.
Leyton Orient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Hartlepool is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recently Leyton Orient have a series of guest games.
In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-5.
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