The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartlepool United 27.4%
Draw 27.3%
Bradford City 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
28.5%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
27.7%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartlepool United's form might have worsened.
Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bradford City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartlepool United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bradford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
34.8%
17.4%
47.8%
Hartlepool United - Bradford City Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Bradford will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bradford: 27.4% – 68.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (23.95%), has project points - 44, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bradford has the most likely position - 13 (5.26%), has project points - 61, has currently - 4, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
This event has very small quality8, small importance29, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Hartlepool is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Bradford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bradford will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-3.
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