Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Davies A. (Eng)


	Leyton Orient		Walsall

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4.2
	1.9	3.2	4.2
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.92	3.25	3.95
	1.89	3.46	4.59
	1.88	3.2	4.4
	1.92	3.45	4.45	Watch
	1.92	3.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.82)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	4.28 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
49.6%

Draw
28.4%

Walsall
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.2%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	0%	21.1%

Leyton Orient - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: Leyton Orient will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 14).

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (23.2%), has project points - 85, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a good chance of promoted (59%), has a chance of win league (23%).

Walsall has the most likely position - 22 (7.54%), has project points - 53, has currently - 9, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 10, importance 39, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 1.

Leyton Orient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Walsall has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Walsall have a series of home games.

In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Leyton Orient to win the game is with odds 1.91.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League Two
13.09.22	Rochdale - Leyton Orient	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Leyton Orient - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Oxford United - Leyton Orient	5:0 ✺
English League Two
27.08.22	Leyton Orient - Hartlepool United	4:2 ✺
20.08.22	Colchester United - Leyton Orient	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW
- Walsall FC
English League Two
13.09.22	Walsall - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Bradford City - Walsall	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Walsall - West Ham United U21	0:1 ✺
English League Two
27.08.22	Walsall - Grimsby Town	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
23.08.22	Walsall - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
02.04.22	Walsall - Leyton Orient	0:2
16.10.21	Leyton Orient - Walsall	0:0
05.04.21	Leyton Orient - Walsall	0:0
13.10.20	Walsall - Leyton Orient	2:1
01.01.20	Walsall - Leyton Orient	1:0
12.10.19	Leyton Orient - Walsall	3:1
English League One
28.02.15	Walsall - Leyton Orient	0:2

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