Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Bescot Stadium (Walsall)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Walsall		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3
	2.3	3.5	3
	2.25	3.4	3	Watch
	2.27	3.5	3.11
	2.26	3.42	3.04	Watch
	2.3	3.5	3
	2.27	3.52	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.55)	3.47 ↑ (3.34)	3.03 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walsall
41.6%

Draw
27.2%

Charlton Athletic
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.6%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Walsall that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlton Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Walsall - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simkin T. (G) 4. McEntee O. (C) 24. Williams H. 21. Allen T. 2. Barrett C. 8. Lakin C. 14. Comley B. 22. Jellis J. 3. Gordon L. 7. Lowe N. 37. Adomah A.	21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 23. Edmonds-Green R. 4. Mitchell A. 3. Gillesphey M. 16. Edwards J. 12. Taylor T. 6. Coventry C. 8. Berry L. 24. Godden M. (C) 9. Ahadme G. 18. Anderson K.
Substitutes
5. Daniels D. 17. Earing J. 20. Hall G. 12. Hornby S. (G) 39. Johnson D. 9. Matt J. 26. Okagbue D. 25. Stirk R. 30. Weir E.	28. Campbell A. 7. Campbell T. 17. Edun T. 14. Hylton D. 29. Kanu D. 38. Laqeretabua J. 15. Potts D. 37. Reid T. (G) 26. Small T.
Coaches
Sadler M. J.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Ahadme G. ⚽, Coventry C. (A),
19', Jellis J. ↓, Earing J. ↑,
28', 0 - 2, Godden M. ⚽,
45', Comley B. ↓, Stirk R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Adomah A. ↓, Matt J. ↑,
51', Godden M. 🟨,
57', Allen T. 🟨,
64', Godden M. ↓, Small T. ↑,
64', Berry L. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
66', Edmonds-Green R. 🟨,
69', Lowe N. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
69', Lakin C. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Ahadme G. ⚽,
88', Ahadme G. ↓, Hylton D. ↑,
88', Coventry C. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,
90+2', Anderson K. ↓, Laqeretabua J. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 4, Campbell T. ⚽, Small T. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Walsall won 0.

Walsall is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Charlton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Walsall have a series of home games.

Recently Charlton have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Walsall won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:13 (average 0.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Walsall won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walsall FC
English League Two
26.11.24	Walsall - Bromley	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	AFC Wimbledon - Walsall	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Walsall - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
English League Two
09.11.24	Walsall - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Walsall - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWTW
- Charlton Athletic
English League One
26.11.24	Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Huddersfield Town - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Charlton Athletic - Bromley	1:0 ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Exeter City - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Southend United - Charlton Athletic	3:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
23.08.22	Walsall - Charlton Athletic	0:1
English League One
01.01.19	Charlton Athletic - Walsall	2:1
06.11.18	Walsall - Charlton Athletic	0:2
20.01.18	Charlton Athletic - Walsall	3:1
26.09.17	Walsall - Charlton Athletic	2:2
11.03.17	Charlton Athletic - Walsall	1:1
20.08.16	Walsall - Charlton Athletic	1:2

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