Match Info

Date: 13 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Rochdale		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.15
	3.3	3.2	2.15
	3.4	3.25	2.15
	3.15	3.3	2.17
	3.44	3.41	2.22
	3.3	3.2	2.2
	3.44	3.42	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.66)	3.33 ↑ (3.23)	2.18 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
28.4%

Draw
28.4%

Leyton Orient
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28.7%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

28.5%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.2%	15.4%	65.4%

Rochdale - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (11.29%), has project points - 49, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (22%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (19.81%), has project points - 83, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a good chance of promoted (53%), has a chance of win league (20%).

Rochdale is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leyton Orient is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Rochdale have a series of guest games.

Leyton Orient will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
03.09.22	Carlisle United - Rochdale	3:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Accrington Stanley - Rochdale	4:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
27.08.22	Rochdale - Crawley Town	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.08.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Rochdale	3:0 ✺
English League Two
20.08.22	Swindon Town - Rochdale	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTLL
- Leyton Orient
English League Two
03.09.22	Leyton Orient - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Oxford United - Leyton Orient	5:0 ✺
English League Two
27.08.22	Leyton Orient - Hartlepool United	4:2 ✺
20.08.22	Colchester United - Leyton Orient	1:3 ✺
16.08.22	Swindon Town - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.03.22	Leyton Orient - Rochdale	3:1
13.11.21	Rochdale - Leyton Orient	2:2
English League One
21.04.15	Rochdale - Leyton Orient	1:0
27.09.14	Leyton Orient - Rochdale	2:3
05.05.12	Leyton Orient - Rochdale	N/A

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