The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leyton Orient 52.2%
Draw 27.2%
Tranmere Rovers 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
28.3%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
28.1%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leyton Orient's performance.
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tranmere Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Leyton Orient - Tranmere Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
Leyton Orient will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 15).
Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (13.59%), has project points - 79, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a chance of promoted (44%), has a small chance of win league (14%).
Tranmere has the most likely position - 6 (5.82%), has project points - 66, has currently - 7, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has small quality14, importance41, small match rating28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 2.
Leyton Orient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Tranmere is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tranmere could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.
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