Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 26

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Leça		Castro Daire

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.75	3.1	4.25
	1.72	3.7	4.31
	1.72	3.52	4.55
	1.75	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.6)	3.41 ↓ (3.68)	4.3 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
52.3%

Draw
26.6%

Castro Daire
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.8%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.5%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Castro Daire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leça than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leça, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Castro Daire have a series of home games.

In this match Leça is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Leça won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Leça won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	Beira-Mar - Leça	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Leça - Marítimo B	0:3 ✺
26.03.23	Castro Daire - Leça	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	Guarda Desportiva - Leça	1:5 ✺
12.03.23	Leça - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL
- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	Castro Daire - Resende	3:1 ✺
02.04.23	Castro Daire - Beira-Mar	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Castro Daire - Leça	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Marítimo B - Castro Daire	5:1 ✺
12.03.23	Castro Daire - Guarda Desportiva	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.03.23	Castro Daire - Leça	0:2
16.01.22	Castro Daire - Leça	2:0
03.10.21	Leça - Castro Daire	0:1
19.01.20	Leça - Castro Daire	0:1

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