Match Info

Date: 3 December 2021, Friday


	Libertad Asuncion		River Plate Asunción

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	8	Watch
	1.36	4.1	7.75
	1.32	4.75	6.75
	1.34	4.9	7
	1.34	5.46	9.15
	1.33	4.75	8
	1.33	5.15	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.47)	4.8 ↑ (3.81)	7.82 ↑ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
69%

Draw
19.2%

River Plate Asunción
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

24.2%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.8%

20%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Asuncion's performance.

River Plate Asunción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (-1%)

Libertad Asuncion - River Plate Asunción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 and 8).

Libertad is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Plate is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Libertad have a series of guest games.

In this match Libertad is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Libertad won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Copa Paraguay
30.11.21	Atlético Tembetary - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.11.21	Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:3 ✺
20.11.21	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
14.11.21	Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.11.21	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTLW
- River Plate Asunción
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.11.21	River Plate Asunción - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
20.11.21	Guaraní Asuncion - River Plate Asunción	2:1 ✺
05.11.21	River Plate Asunción - 12 de Octubre	0:2 ✺
29.10.21	Nacional Asuncion - River Plate Asunción	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	River Plate Asunción - Sol de América	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
17.09.21	River Plate Asunción - Libertad Asuncion	0:1
03.05.21	River Plate Asunción - Libertad Asuncion	1:3
01.03.21	Libertad Asuncion - River Plate Asunción	2:1

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