Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción)

Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)


	Libertad Asuncion		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.30	4.10	Watch
	1.75	3.30	3.90
	1.81	3.45	4.25	Watch
	1.86	3.60	4.42
	1.93	3.44	3.91	Watch
	1.84	3.55	4.15
	1.83	3.46	4.25	Watch
	1.80	3.30	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 (1.82)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	4.1 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
50.6%

Draw
26.9%

Deportivo Recoleta
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Benitez A. 5. Flores G. 23. Freire N. 17. Espinoza Acosta M. D. (C) 6. Campuzano A. 8. Carrizo F. 24. Villalba R. 7. Manzur A. 28. Fernandez M. 26. Ramirez I.	12. Ferreira N. (G) 14. Figueredo C. 5. Marotta N. 3. Cardozo L. (C) 25. Mosquera D. 39. Guggiari G. 38. Franco A. 6. Espinola J. 18. Rios P. 9. Ortiz R. 33. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
13. Bogarin J. 19. Franco I. 14. Fretes A. 4. Gimenez N. 33. Martinez C. 3. Rojas R. 29. Rojas V. (G) 21. Sanabria L. 11. Vera E. 30. Vera O. R. 34. Villalba E. 22. Villalba P.	17. Baez W. 22. Barreto O. 30. Charpentier P. 7. Dominguez R. 2. Echeguren Zarza F. A. 37. Falcon J. 19. Lopez H. 32. Monzon L. 11. Parzajuk K. 4. Pereira M. 10. Silva A. 13. Toledo O. (G)
Coaches
Valdez N.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Guggiari G. (A),
12', Figueredo C. ↓, Echeguren Zarza F. A. ↑,
14', 1 - 1, Manzur A. ⚽, Ramirez I. (A),
23', Ramirez I. 🟨,
39', Franco A. 🟨,
45+4', Silva A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', Guggiari G. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Espinoza Acosta M. D. ⚽, Campuzano A. (A),
61', Ortiz R. ↓, Parzajuk K. ↑,
61', Mosquera D. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
61', Guggiari G. ↓, Baez W. ↑,
66', Ramirez I. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
66', Carrizo F. ↓, Bogarin J. ↑,
66', Fernandez M. ↓, Vera E. ↑,
72', Campuzano A. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
77', Villalba R. ↓, Gimenez N. ↑,
78', Franco A. ↓, Barreto O. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Bogarin J. ⚽, Vera E. (A),
89', Ferreira N. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 1, Vera E. ⚽, Franco I. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.

In this match, Libertad is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Libertad Asuncion	13	8	2	3	21:14	7	26
11	Recoleta	13	2	2	9	14:26	-12	8

Last Results with these Odds

Libertad Asuncion - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.24%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.07.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Libertad Asuncion - Universidad Central	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.05.26	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Independiente del Valle - Libertad Asuncion	4:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.05.26	Libertad Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLT
- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.07.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.05.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Recoleta	2:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.05.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
30.03.26	Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	1:0
02.02.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion	2:1
26.10.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion	2:2
10.08.25	Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	1:1
14.04.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion	1:1
02.02.25	Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	5:2

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