Match Info

Date: 14 September 2022, Wednesday


	Libertad Loja		Chacaritas

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.87	3
	2.2	2.75	3.4
	2.3	2.85	3.1
	2.44	2.7	3.52
	2.3	2.75	3.2
	2.22	2.97	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.21)	2.82 ↑ (2.74)	3.24 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Loja
39.6%

Draw
32.3%

Chacaritas
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

32.9%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

31.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Libertad Loja - Chacaritas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Chacaritas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Chacaritas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Libertad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Serie B
31.08.22	Manta - Libertad Loja	2:2 ✺
28.08.22	Libertad Loja - Independiente Juniors	2:2 ✺
25.08.22	América de Quito - Libertad Loja	2:1 ✺
18.08.22	Libertad Loja - Búhos ULVR	0:1 ✺
10.08.22	Olmedo - Libertad Loja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLLW
- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
07.09.22	Chacaritas - Manta	0:0 ✺
31.08.22	Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Chacaritas - Búhos ULVR	1:0 ✺
24.08.22	Atlético Santo Domingo - Chacaritas	3:1 ✺
17.08.22	Chacaritas - Olmedo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
11.05.22	Chacaritas - Libertad Loja	1:0
23.03.22	Libertad Loja - Chacaritas	5:1

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