Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 16

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Manta		Libertad Loja

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.8	Watch
	2.3	2.95	2.8
	2	3.1	3.7	Watch
	2.14	3.22	3.76
	1.98	3.26	3.98	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.6
	1.99	3.17	3.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.14)	3.13 ↓ (3.16)	3.66 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manta
45.3%

Draw
29.5%

Libertad Loja
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

29.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

29.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Manta - Libertad Loja Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chavez W. (G) 45. Cuero I. 16. Quintero D. 4. Nazareno J. 31. Mina G. 19. Alman J. (C) 5. Ramirez B. 6. Jimenez J. 70. Nazareno J. 17. Angulo J. 9. Blanco J.	12. Cabezas D. (G) 17. Patta E. 25. Lucas M. 5. Gruezo C. 36. Garcia A. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 11. Batalla H. 63. Valencia C. 7. Zambrano I. (C) 10. Cortez Casierra G. J. 9. Caicedo E.
Substitutes
10. Burbano S. 20. Chala J. 23. Medina A. 21. Ortiz M. 99. Pico E. (G) 52. Rialpe J. 27. Troya J. 8. Valencia M. 12. Zambrano F. (G)	52. Bao A. (G) 70. Branda V. 30. Bravo J. 6. Caicedo B. 8. Castro S. 33. Chere A. 49. Coronel D. 19. Corozo B. 23. Guisamano J. 29. Zambrano R.
Coaches
Carvajal Burgos J. E.	Buch J. P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Zambrano I. ⚽, Lucas M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Alman J. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
46', Ramirez B. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
46', Mina G. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
60', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
60', Cortez Casierra G. J. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Blanco J. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Patta E. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
67', Garcia A. ↓, Zambrano R. ↑,
71', Caicedo E. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
75', Caicedo B. 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Blanco J. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Cuero I. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
86', Valencia C. 🟨,
90+1', Jimenez J. ↓, Rialpe J. ↑,
90+3', Gruezo C. 🟨,
90+4', Batalla H. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Manta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.05.26	SD Aucas - Manta	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
22.05.26	9 de Octubre - Manta	0:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.05.26	Manta - Emelec	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Manta - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTLT
- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.05.26	Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
19.05.26	LDU Portoviejo - Libertad Loja	2:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.05.26	Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Emelec - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Libertad Loja - SD Aucas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.02.26	Libertad Loja - Manta	1:0
21.07.25	Libertad Loja - Manta	1:0
30.03.25	Manta - Libertad Loja	1:1
Ecuadorian Serie B
13.10.22	Libertad Loja - Manta	0:0
31.08.22	Manta - Libertad Loja	2:2
03.06.22	Libertad Loja - Manta	0:0
08.04.22	Manta - Libertad Loja	0:3

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