Match Info

ECUADOR: Serie B - Round 22

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo (Pelileo)


	Chacaritas		Manta

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.4	2.76	3.58
	2.36	2.71	3.38	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.21	2.97	3.26
	2.3	2.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.59)	2.82 ↓ (3.06)	3.3 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacaritas
39.9%

Draw
32.4%

Manta
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28.3%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chacaritas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Chacaritas - Manta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chacaritas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Valencia D. ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chacaritas won 2.

Chacaritas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Manta has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Manta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Manta have a series of home games.

Chacaritas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Chacaritas won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Chacaritas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.07.24	9 de Octubre - Chacaritas	4:1 ✺
16.07.24	Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
10.07.24	Chacaritas - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
02.07.24	Guayaquil City - Chacaritas	5:0 ✺
26.06.24	Chacaritas - Gualaceo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL
- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.07.24	Manta - Independiente Juniors	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
21.07.24	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	1:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
17.07.24	Vinotinto - Manta	6:2 ✺
11.07.24	Manta - Guayaquil City	2:2 ✺
04.07.24	Manta - 9 de Octubre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
23.05.24	Manta - Chacaritas	0:1
28.03.24	Chacaritas - Manta	1:0
28.09.23	Manta - Chacaritas	1:0
09.08.23	Chacaritas - Manta	0:1
28.06.23	Chacaritas - Manta	1:1
11.05.23	Manta - Chacaritas	1:0
19.10.22	Manta - Chacaritas	3:1

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