Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Second stage - Round 27

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne (Loja)

Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Libertad Loja		Imbabura

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.23	3.22	3.43
	2.2	3.23	3.32	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.16	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.26)	3.22 ↑ (3.19)	3.26 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Loja
42.8%

Draw
28.8%

Imbabura
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.3%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Imbabura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Libertad Loja aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Imbabura aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Libertad Loja - Imbabura Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Bores E. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 6. Caicedo B. 37. Medina C. 31. Mina G. 66. Gomez L. 7. Zambrano I. 26. Molina N. (C) 10. Penilla C. 19. Caicedo E. 9. Avila D.	1. Valero M. (C) 4. Medina E. A. 2. Coronel G. 13. Chala M. 6. Benitez J. 22. Mendoza E. 34. Alcivar J. 24. Sanchez S. 99. Luna Tobar C. 23. Klimowicz L. 29. Pita J.
Substitutes
11. Almeida Marquez J. J. 27. Alvacete J. 13. Angulo L. 54. Bardales W. 50. Caicedo D. 22. Donsanti T. 29. Hinostroza W. (G) 5. Larrea P. 4. Obando C. 20. Rosero A.	11. Burbano D. 8. Caicedo R. 5. Cevallos G. 31. Guisamano J. 14. Lecanda T. 90. Minda P. (G) 7. Pantoja L. 19. Pepinos O. 21. Prado A.
Coaches
Leon J.	Rodriguez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Mendoza E. ⚽, Alcivar J. (A),
8', Sanchez S. 🟨,
25', Alcivar J. 🟨,
27', Benitez J. 🟨,
34', Medina E. A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Molina N. ⚽, Penilla C. (A),
44', 2 - 1, Zambrano I. ⚽, Penilla C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gomez L. ↓, Angulo L. ↑,
46', Sanchez S. ↓, Pepinos O. ↑,
46', Alcivar J. ↓, Cevallos G. ↑,
46', Medina E. A. ↓, Lecanda T. ↑,
58', Klimowicz L. 🟨,
64', Bolanos D. 🟨,
67', Avila D. ↓, Caicedo D. ↑,
72', Caicedo B. 🟨,
73', Bolanos D. ↓, Bardales W. ↑,
73', Zambrano I. ↓, Larrea P. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Penilla C. ⚽,
79', Penilla C. 🟨,
83', Coronel G. ↓, Burbano D. ↑,
83', Klimowicz L. ↓, Pantoja L. ↑,
85', Larrea P. 🟨,
90+2', Caicedo B. ↓, Obando C. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).

Recent matches Libertad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Imbabura is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Imbabura could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Libertad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 2:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 2.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.10.24	Libertad Loja - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Orense - Libertad Loja	1:0 ✺
04.10.24	Libertad Loja - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
26.09.24	Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLWTL
- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.10.24	Imbabura - Técnico Universitario	0:6 ✺
19.10.24	Independiente del Valle - Imbabura	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Imbabura - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Deportivo Macará - Imbabura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.05.24	Imbabura - Libertad Loja	4:2
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.10.22	Libertad Loja - Imbabura	2:0
30.07.22	Imbabura - Libertad Loja	2:1
26.05.22	Imbabura - Libertad Loja	1:2
31.03.22	Libertad Loja - Imbabura	3:5

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