The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orense 50.6%
Draw 26%
Libertad Loja 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
25.6%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
24.7%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orense's form might have worsened.
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Libertad Loja's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Libertad Loja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Orense - Libertad Loja Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Silva R. (G) 31. Velasco P. (C) 6. Callegari S. 45. Quinonez O. 15. Caicedo B. 7. Vasquez S. 26. Molina N. 13. Mena A. 10. Burgoa V. 19. Bermudez M. 11. Herrera A.
12. Cabezas D. (G) 17. Patta E. 6. Caicedo B. 5. Gruezo C. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 19. Corozo B. 11. Batalla H. 70. Branda V. 7. Zambrano I. (C) 10. Cortez Casierra G. J. 33. Chere A.
Substitutes
8. Armas D. 17. Caicedo E. 53. Garces L. 50. Hernandez E. 25. Jaramilo R. 5. Lorenzo A. 3. Mina S. 51. Ortiz C. 22. Ortiz J. (G) 14. Pluas E. 77. Vinan B. 54. Zambrano Pesantez E. S.
27. Bueno S. 9. Caicedo E. 8. Castro S. 49. Coronel D. 66. Estacio J. (G) 36. Garcia A. 23. Guisamano J. 25. Lucas M. 22. Mina J. (G) 63. Valencia C. 29. Zambrano R.
Coaches
Robles A.
Leon J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Zambrano I. 🟨,
36', Caicedo B. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Vasquez S. ⚽, Velasco P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Batalla H. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
46', Cortez Casierra G. J. ↓, Coronel D. ↑,
66', Chere A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
69', Bermudez M. 🟨,
72', Bermudez M. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
72', Corozo B. ↓, Valencia C. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Caicedo B. ⚽, Guisamano J. (A),
79', Armas D. 🟨,
81', Herrera A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
82', Burgoa V. ↓, Zambrano Pesantez E. S. ↑,
82', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Caicedo B. ⚽, Molina N. (A),
90+2', Mena A. ↓, Jaramilo R. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2.
Orense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Libertad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Orense is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Orense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
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Silva R. (G) 
Callegari S. 
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