Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 30

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Lichtenberg		Hertha Berlin II

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	1.93
	3.25	3.4	1.95
	3.52	3.53	2.02
	3.42	3.6	1.98
	3.35	3.45	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.75)	3.46 ↑ (3.25)	1.98 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lichtenberg
27.2%

Draw
26.5%

Hertha Berlin II
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27.2%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lichtenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lichtenberg's form might have worsened.

Hertha Berlin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hertha Berlin II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lichtenberg than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin II than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hertha Berlin II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lichtenberg - Hertha Berlin II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Regionalliga Nordost (Relegation) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lichtenberg won 1.

Lichtenberg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hertha Berlin II is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lichtenberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hertha Berlin II will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lichtenberg won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Lichtenberg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Lichtenberg 47
German Regionalliga Nordost
21.04.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Lichtenberg	4:1 ✺
15.04.23	Lichtenberg - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Chemnitzer - Lichtenberg	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Lichtenberg - Berliner AK 07	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Lichtenberg - Babelsberg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTLL
- Hertha Berlin II
German Regionalliga Nordost
23.04.23	Hertha Berlin II - Luckenwalde	2:0 ✺
18.04.23	Germania Halberstadt - Hertha Berlin II	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Altglienicke - Hertha Berlin II	2:3 ✺
06.04.23	Hertha Berlin II - Chemie Leipzig	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Energie Cottbus - Hertha Berlin II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
11.11.22	Hertha Berlin II - Lichtenberg	3:0
05.02.22	Hertha Berlin II - Lichtenberg	3:1
14.08.21	Lichtenberg - Hertha Berlin II	0:0
25.04.21	Hertha Berlin II - Lichtenberg	Canceled
31.10.20	Lichtenberg - Hertha Berlin II	1:1
01.11.19	Hertha Berlin II - Lichtenberg	2:4

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