Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 29

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday


	Lokomotive Leipzig		Lichtenberg

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	6
	1.37	4.5	6.25
	1.49	4.34	6.12
	1.44	4.33	6.6
	1.44	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.3)	4.33 ↓ (5)	6.23 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotive Leipzig
64.1%

Draw
21.2%

Lichtenberg
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

18.3%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

17.1%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotive Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotive Leipzig's form might have worsened.

Lichtenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotive Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lichtenberg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Lokomotive Leipzig - Lichtenberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Regionalliga Nordost (Relegation)).

Recent matches Lokomotive Leipzig is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lichtenberg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lokomotive Leipzig is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lokomotive Leipzig won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotive Leipzig won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
16.04.23	Luckenwalde - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:1 ✺
11.04.23	Tennis Borussia Berlin - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:2 ✺
06.04.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Altglienicke	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Chemie Leipzig - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Energie Cottbus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWTL
- SV Lichtenberg 47
German Regionalliga Nordost
15.04.23	Lichtenberg - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Chemnitzer - Lichtenberg	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Lichtenberg - Berliner AK 07	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Lichtenberg - Babelsberg	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Meuselwitz - Lichtenberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
06.11.22	Lichtenberg - Lokomotive Leipzig	4:2
23.04.22	Lichtenberg - Lokomotive Leipzig	3:0
30.10.21	Lokomotive Leipzig - Lichtenberg	1:3
25.10.20	Lichtenberg - Lokomotive Leipzig	3:2
23.11.19	Lokomotive Leipzig - Lichtenberg	2:2

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