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Current Win Probability
Liepāja 70%
Draw 19%
Metta 10.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
22.2%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
21.1%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.
Metta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
7.7%
7.7%
Liepāja - Metta Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Liepāja (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Liepāja will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liepāja will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Petkovic D. (C) 35. Sorokins V. 26. Isajevs V. 72. Babic A. 3. Iljins K. 14. Gueye D. 91. Lausic M. 28. Korobenko A. 11. Diaw M. 9. Oloko E. 17. Melnis B.
1. Sorokins A. (G) 2. Scremin G. 4. Vilnis K. (C) 30. Kamara S. 5. Minkevics I. 3. Lauan 7. Grabovskis K. 15. Cinajevs D. 8. Kamara M. 11. Ivulans M. 9. Saleh S.
Substitutes
30. Bruns P. T. 44. Leidsman K. 18. Melkis R. 24. Oss D. (G) 70. Patijcuks D. 22. Purtic S. 99. Samba T. 8. Traore A. 6. Vientiess O.
29. Bangura A. 12. Bite K. (G) 27. Cesnieks K. 18. Evelons E. 23. Karimu M. 10. Klavinskis R. 24. Parfjonovs N. (G) 21. Rekis K. 14. Smilskalns G.
Coaches
Alm A.
Riherts A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Scremin G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gueye D. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
46', Oloko E. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
58', Saleh S. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
67', Diaw M. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
76', Scremin G. ↓, Rekis K. ↑,
80', Melnis B. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Babic A. ⚽,
90+1', Kamara M. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
90+1', Kamara S. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
90+1', Lausic M. ↓, Purtic S. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 3.
In recent matches, Liepāja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Metta has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Liepāja is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 49:24. (average 2.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.5:1.2).
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Petkovic D. (C) 
Sorokins V. 
Gueye D. 
Lausic M. 
Korobenko A. 
Oloko E. 
Scremin G. 
Kamara S. 
Lauan 
Leidsman K. 
Purtic S. 
Samba T. 
Traore A. 
Karimu M. 
Alm A. 
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