Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 18

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Herman Vanderpoortenstadion (Lier)

Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)


	Lierse		Kortrijk

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.67	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.82
	4.43	3.9	1.74
	3.97	3.87	1.81	Watch
	4	3.6	1.75
	3.95	3.48	1.79	Watch
	4.25	3.75	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.87)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	1.75 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lierse
22.5%

Draw
25.1%

Kortrijk
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.3%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

25.7%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Kortrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	26.7%	40%

Lierse - Kortrijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lierse will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Kortrijk will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lierse: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kortrijk (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Vroman K. (G) 58. De Vos V. 66. Mertens J. 21. De Kerf B. 77. Masaki H. 11. El Touile S. 6. Matuta E. 36. Asare D. 8. Daguin V. 22. Van Meirvenne C. 9. Adinany B.	31. Ilic M. (G) 5. Ndjeungoue J. 35. Lambert B. 36. Kohon R. 14. De Smet L. 19. Dejaegere B. 6. De Smet L. 18. van Landschoot J. 7. Hurtevent I. 68. Ambrose T. 21. Mailula C.
Substitutes
27. De Peuter D. 45. De Ridder N. 12. De Smet J. (G) 48. Gboua Y. 7. Hidraoui-Akachar Y. 3. Mayoka-Tika N. 29. Sy M. 26. Van Elsuwege T. 44. Verbist L.	8. Challouk Y. 11. Denes C. 13. De Vlaeminck E. (G) 20. Dewaele G. 15. Fofana M. 2. Gueye M. 90. Ogbuehi S. 25. Osifo M. 49. Wirsiy Nsolo F.
Coaches
Shoffner J.	Jonckheere M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Kohon R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mailula C. ↓, Osifo M. ↑,
53', De Smet L. 🟨,
65', El Touile S. 🟨,
73', Hurtevent I. ↓, Ogbuehi S. ↑,
73', van Landschoot J. ↓, Denes C. ↑,
77', Matuta E. 🟨,
81', Van Meirvenne C. ↓, Sy M. ↑,
85', Osifo M. 🟨,
89', De Smet L. ↓, Dewaele G. ↑,
89', De Smet L. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
90+2', Matuta E. ↓, Mayoka-Tika N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lierse won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Kortrijk might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lierse won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lierse won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lierse Kempenzonen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
13.12.25	Francs Borains - Lierse	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Lierse - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Lierse - Anderlecht U23	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Lierse	1:0 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
08.11.25	Brugge U23 - Lierse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLW
- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Challenger Pro League
13.12.25	Kortrijk - Seraing	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	RFC Liège - Kortrijk	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Lokeren - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kortrijk - Lommel	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Kortrijk - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
16.08.25	Kortrijk - Lierse	1:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.04.18	Kortrijk - Lierse	2:1
14.04.18	Lierse - Kortrijk	0:2
15.03.15	Lierse - Kortrijk	0:0
08.11.14	Kortrijk - Lierse	1:0
Club Friendly
05.07.14	Lierse - Kortrijk	0:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.01.14	Kortrijk - Lierse	3:4

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