Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 34

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Herman Vanderpoortenstadion (Lier)

Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)


	Lierse		Lokeren

	1	X	2
	3.6	4	1.75	Watch
	3.5	3.75	1.9	Watch
	4.13	3.98	1.8
	3.16	3.84	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.75
	3.7	4.11	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.67)	3.88 ↑ (3.45)	1.84 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lierse
25.5%

Draw
24%

Lokeren
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

26.7%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

26.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lierse's form might have worsened.

Lokeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokeren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lierse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokeren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Lierse - Lokeren Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lierse will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Lokeren will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Smet J. (G) 66. Mertens J. (C) 24. Willems J. 26. Van Elsuwege T. 77. Masaki H. 22. Van Meirvenne C. 3. Mayoka-Tika N. 27. De Peuter D. 14. De Buyser W. 6. Matuta E. 10. Stanic A.	56. Vervacke S. (G) 19. Lloci M. 33. Camara D. 2. Vinck J. 16. Palacios J. 6. Brebels S. 28. Pau M. 7. Brrou A. 10. Soumare M. (C) 25. Boonen I. 11. Mabanza V. R.
Substitutes
9. Boncina L. 45. De Ridder N. 30. De Schrijver P. 58. De Vos V. 11. El Touile S. 7. Hidraoui-Akachar Y. 29. Sy M. 32. Van Clemen W. (G) 21. Yeboah E.	39. Baert Y. (G) 22. Bayo A. 9. Boere T. 5. Boujouh N. 97. Calant A. 76. Lietaert J. 47. Mavinga P. 27. Van den Bergh R. 26. Vervaque J.
Coaches
Shoffner J.	Vreven S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Boonen I. ↓, Boujouh N. ↑,
32', Matuta E. 🟨,
45+2', Mertens J. ↓, De Vos V. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Stanic A. ↓, Boncina L. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Van Meirvenne C. ⚽,
56', 1 - 1, Mabanza V. R. ⚽, Lloci M. (A),
61', Pau M. 🟨,
65', Brebels S. ↓, Van den Bergh R. ↑,
70', Van Elsuwege T. ↓, El Touile S. ↑,
70', De Peuter D. ↓, Sy M. ↑,
75', Lloci M. 🟨,
75', El Touile S. 🟨,
80', Mayoka-Tika N. ↓, De Ridder N. ↑,
87', Brrou A. 🟨,
90+5', Boujouh N. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lokeren might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lierse won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Lierse won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sporting Lokeren	6	3	1	2	13:11	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lierse Kempenzonen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.04.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lierse	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Lierse - Francs Borains	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	RWDM Brussels - Lierse	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Lierse - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Eupen - Lierse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTLW
- KSC Lokeren
Belgian Challenger Pro League
10.04.26	Lokeren - Seraing	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Genk U23 - Lokeren	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Lokeren - Anderlecht U23	4:2 ✺
15.03.26	Lokeren - Gent U23	4:1 ✺
12.03.26	Francs Borains - Lokeren	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
12.09.25	Lokeren - Lierse	2:0
24.01.25	Lokeren - Lierse	1:1
08.11.24	Lierse - Lokeren	2:2

Lierse - Lokeren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide