Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 32

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Van De Velde D. (Bel)


	Genk U23		Lokeren

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.8	Watch
	3.5	3.8	1.85	Watch
	3.81	4.23	1.85
	3.11	4.04	2.02	Watch
	3.5	3.75	1.8
	3.74	3.74	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.14)	3.86 ↑ (3.53)	1.87 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk U23
26.2%

Draw
24%

Lokeren
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

25.9%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

25.7%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Lokeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Genk U23 - Lokeren Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Genk U23 will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Lokeren will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk U23: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Doucoure E. (G) 65. Akpan C. 22. Manguelle B. (C) 73. Mbavu E. 84. Sarfo E. 86. Haroun K. 56. De Wannemacker A. 79. Nzoko D. 89. Kim M. 30. Yokoyama A. 99. Erabi J.	56. Vervacke S. (G) 19. Lloci M. 33. Camara D. 3. Dianganga J. 16. Palacios J. 55. Van Aerschot S. 28. Pau M. 7. Brrou A. 10. Soumare M. (C) 25. Boonen I. 11. Mabanza V. R.
Substitutes
78. Achahbar K. 67. Camara A. 66. Coenen J. 76. Driessen J. 59. Kapers W. 53. Mocsnik M. 75. Ogbeiwi P. 82. Vliegen O. (G) 55. Yoshinaga Y.	39. Baert Y. (G) 9. Boere T. 5. Boujouh N. 6. Brebels S. 8. Elejalde I. 76. Lietaert J. 27. Van den Bergh R. 26. Vervaque J. 2. Vinck J.
Coaches
de Camargo I.	Vreven S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Pau M. ⚽, Boonen I. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, De Wannemacker A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', De Wannemacker A. ↓, Mocsnik M. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Kim M. ⚽,
58', Soumare M. 🟨,
61', Erabi J. 🟨,
66', Boonen I. ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
69', Kim M. ↓, Driessen J. ↑,
69', Akpan C. ↓, Yoshinaga Y. ↑,
69', Nzoko D. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Van Aerschot S. ⚽, Pau M. (A),
79', Pau M. ↓, Van den Bergh R. ↑,
90+2', Lloci M. 🟨,
90+2', Haroun K. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Lokeren has had a series of home games.

Lokeren is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sporting Lokeren	6	3	1	2	13:11	2	10
10	Genk U23	6	2	1	3	12:14	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Genk U23 - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.17%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
20.03.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Genk U23	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Seraing - Genk U23	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Genk U23 - Brugge U23	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - Genk U23	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Genk U23 - Lierse	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTLL
- KSC Lokeren
Belgian Challenger Pro League
21.03.26	Lokeren - Anderlecht U23	4:2 ✺
15.03.26	Lokeren - Gent U23	4:1 ✺
12.03.26	Francs Borains - Lokeren	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lokeren - Beveren	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Lokeren - Lommel	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.12.25	Lokeren - Genk U23	2:2
02.03.25	Genk U23 - Lokeren	1:2
03.11.24	Lokeren - Genk U23	4:0

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