Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Balzan		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.7	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.6
	1.7	3.45	4.57
	1.7	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	4.5 (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balzan
53.7%

Draw
26.1%

Santa Lucia
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

25.2%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Balzan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Briffa R. (G) 4. Andre 5. Arab S. (C) 80. Blackwood G. 24. Braunovic N. 10. Busuttil J. 7. Caruana T. 17. Han Eui-Gwon 18. Michibuchi R. 27. Rommens O. 23. Zerjal N.	12. Celio (G) 15. Bradshaw A. 3. Ellul M. 80. Gomes E. 6. Letherby D. 21. Moracci S. 18. Mrdja A. 4. Ogouvide A. 27. Piazza A. 17. Pisani J. (C) 55. Xerri S.
Substitutes
9. Aguek M. 77. Andrejic A. 42. Buttigieg G. 44. Cacciatore G. 19. Celic V. 8. Fenech P. 22. Grech J. 11. Hili B. 21. Katanic A. 14. Oluwatobilola A. 12. Vella N. (G)	16. Formosa C. (G) 22. Hulk 11. Lucas Sena 8. Ojo T. 33. Patrick 7. Pisani S. 19. Scicluna Z. 29. Valletta J. 1. Vella D. (G) 20. Virano G. 14. Xuereb D.
Coaches
Spiteri O.	Zinnari A.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Balzan won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Balzan is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Balzan won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Balzan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balzan FC
Maltese FA Trophy
07.02.24	Sliema Wanderers - Balzan	1:0 ET ✺
Maltese Premier League
04.02.24	Gżira United - Balzan	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Balzan - Hamrun Spartans	1:7 ✺
21.01.24	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	0:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
14.01.24	Balzan - Żurrieq	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLTW
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese FA Trophy
07.02.24	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	3:4 penalties ✺
Maltese Premier League
04.02.24	Santa Lucia - Paola Hibernians	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Floriana - Santa Lucia	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Birkirkara - Santa Lucia	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.24	Santa Lucia - Marsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
26.09.23	Santa Lucia - Balzan	0:1
07.01.23	Balzan - Santa Lucia	3:1
28.08.22	Santa Lucia - Balzan	0:2
04.04.22	Balzan - Santa Lucia	0:3
11.03.22	Balzan - Santa Lucia	0:1
05.12.21	Santa Lucia - Balzan	3:3
05.01.21	Balzan - Santa Lucia	1:1

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