Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 2

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Balzan		Mosta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.3
	2.55	3.38	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.45
	2.65	3.15	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.77)	3.22 ↓ (3.62)	2.42 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balzan
34.3%

Draw
28.1%

Mosta
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25.3%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

24.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mosta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Balzan - Mosta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ciappara D. (G) 27. Akpan U. 5. Arab S. (C) 23. Blasco V. 10. Busuttil J. 7. Caruana T. 14. Dimeji A. 42. Floro R. 18. Jankovic L. 21. Lukovic L. 17. Stanic H.	22. Udoh A. (G) 4. Afriyie P. 21. Agius 96. Bamba O. Y. 5. Cachia S. 6. Coulibaly L. 13. Failla C. (C) 10. Giancarlo 31. Joao Teixeira 9. Kone S. 30. Okereke C.
Substitutes
44. Cacciatore G. 19. Farrugia G. 22. Grech J. 6. Grima M. 11. Hili B. 24. Malepe T. 8. Pulis N. 12. Vella N. (G) 9. Westendorf I.	2. Agius A. 23. Agyemang J. 19. Ayobami J. 77. Brincat Z. 14. Cauchi Z. 18. Celic V. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 15. Portelli A. 16. Sciberras G. 3. Thomas S.
Coaches
Willard D.	Grech J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Giancarlo ⚽,
17', Giancarlo 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Lukovic L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Failla C. (Own goal),
66', Coulibaly L. ↓, Agyemang J. ↑,
66', Bamba O. Y. ↓, Brincat Z. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Brincat Z. ⚽,
79', Jankovic L. ↓, Pulis N. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Akpan U. ⚽,
87', Blasco V. ↓, Hili B. ↑,
90+3', Agyemang J. 🟨,
90+4', Akpan U. ↓, Westendorf I. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Balzan won 2.

Balzan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mosta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Balzan won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 47:25 (average 2.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Balzan won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28:13 (average 2.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balzan FC
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.25	Birkirkara - Balzan	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
06.01.25	Birkirkara - Balzan	5:2 ✺
22.12.24	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Gżira United - Balzan	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Melita - Balzan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- Mosta FC
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.25	Marsaxlokk - Mosta	0:3 ✺
Maltese Premier League
04.01.25	Mosta - Gżira United	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Sliema Wanderers - Mosta	3:1 ✺
17.12.24	Hamrun Spartans - Mosta	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
06.11.24	Mosta - Balzan	2:2
28.04.24	Balzan - Mosta	0:0
07.01.24	Mosta - Balzan	0:2
10.04.23	Mosta - Balzan	2:3
13.11.22	Balzan - Mosta	1:2
09.04.22	Mosta - Balzan	3:2
29.01.22	Balzan - Mosta	2:3

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